Live Updates

8

Jul 2026

伊朗紧张局势推升美元，联储会议纪要公布前欧元兑美元跌向1.1400

EUR/USD 跌回1.1400上方：美伊紧张升温+Fed纪要前避险推升美元。技术熊旗隐现，失守1.1400恐下探1.1330甚至1.1210。

8

Jul 2026

特朗普伊朗备忘录期限届满，霍尔木兹供应忧虑再起，WTI飙升至两周高位

霍尔木兹海峡紧张急升，WTI飙3.2%至74.3美元创两周高。美伊冲突与备忘录失效点燃供应中断忧虑，油价或续波动，压日元欧元，期权与能源股成焦点。

8

Jul 2026

MUFG警告：随着经济数据走软与油价下跌削弱鹰派立场，6月FOMC会议纪要已显过时

MUFG警告：6月纪要或已过时！就业降温、油价下挫削弱点阵图鹰意，美元强势源于利差与拥挤多仓；若通胀回落，或触发快速平仓回撤。

8

Jul 2026

荷兰合作银行的Every在美联储会议纪要公布前，权衡“利润美元”论点与地缘政治因素

美元不再只是“利润美元”叙事：Every称贝森特主义崛起，国家安全与地缘政治主导定价。贸易改向、央行增购黄金、波动率抬升；策略转向做多波动与期权对冲。

8

Jul 2026

美元走软、FOMC会议纪要公布前夕，黄金守在4100美元上方；油价推动的通胀担忧限制涨幅

金价守4,100却涨乏力：美元走软等FOMC纪要；油轮遇袭、美国打击伊朗推油价飙升，通胀与高利率更久压制黄金，技术仍偏空逢高卖。

8

Jul 2026

波兰央行料维持利率在3.75%，通胀降温促焦点转向降息

通胀急降令紧缩叙事退潮：波兰央行7月料守3.75%，市场转押Q4起潜在降息，兹罗提carry缩水恐跑输CZK；可考虑做空PLN/做多CZK或买EUR/PLN看涨期权。

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