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9

Oct 2026

随着美加收益率利差在加拿大就业数据公布前收窄，美元/加元走低

USD/CAD 欧盘回落至 1.4220：美加两年期利差收窄撑加元，但油价偏弱与美联储偏鹰或令美元再占上风。聚焦加拿大就业数据与 1.4355 突破。

9

Oct 2026

特朗普淡化伊朗遭袭风险，风险偏好回升；美债收益率回落，原油下跌，金价走强

特朗普称选前不攻伊朗，风险偏好回温：美股期货小升、WTI回落至90美元附近、黄金冲4200。沃勒偏鹰但强调灵活。聚焦原油波动窗口与加元、日元数据风险。

8

Oct 2026

受鹰派美联储会议纪要提振，美元持稳；市场计价12月加息及更高收益率

美元受FOMC纪要鹰派、美债收益率与波动上升支撑，12月加息预期升温。DXY或逼近102.85；拉美货币承压。交易亮点：做多美元期权、利率期货押曲线走平。

8

Oct 2026

欧洲央行穆兰称欧元区通胀完全由能源推动，否认存在第二轮效应

欧央行官员称欧元区通胀“100%”由能源冲击驱动、无二轮效应；通胀约1.8%降温，政策或转鸽。欧元承压、债券受益，关注外汇与能源波动策略。

8

Oct 2026

随着美债收益率在美联储鹰派会议纪要后回落，金价回升并重返4,100美元上方

黄金跌破两月低后重返4,100美元上方，但FOMC纪要偏鹰、美债收益率高企压制反弹。盯4,100枢纽，跌穿看3,996；反弹4,200可布空与期权。

8

Oct 2026

美国国债收益率触及数十年高位，收益率曲线信号在美国通胀数据公布前引导美元走势

美10年债息飙至5.31%创24年高，DXY重返102上方。真正钩子在短端：若10月14日核心CPI偏热，两年期或再领涨，促DXY破102.50；反之跌破101.50慎防反转。

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