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8

Jul 2026

美元/日元在急升后趋稳，美国CPI推升美元，163.00阻力位限制涨幅

美元兑日圆强势不坠，但上行料受限：短线或仅试162.70，163.00受干预风险压制。未来数周大概率困160.60–163.00，期权可布局卖Call/铁秃鹰。

8

Jul 2026

英镑/美元自1.3410回落，美国数据提振美元，修正风险升温

英镑兑美元冲高受阻1.3410后转弱，跌回1.3349进入修正。关键支撑1.3330/1.3315，失守恐宣告升势终结。非农强、英GDP零增长推升美元。策略：收紧止损或买1.3300附近看跌期权。

8

Jul 2026

油价维持安全溢价，美国-伊朗紧张局势推高收益率；华侨银行继续看好布伦特走势

美伊紧张推高油价与“安全溢价”，美元走强、债息升、金价回落。OCBC看布伦特缓慢回落至75美元；建议卖出虚值看涨、熊市价差，并以长期看跌对冲。

8

Jul 2026

中东局势紧张之际美元兑日元延续涨势；日本央行鸽派立场抑制日元吸引力

中东冲突升温与美日政策分歧推升美元/日元连涨，162.40遇阻回落。若突破或上探162.85，可布局看涨；守161.70/160.50，慎防日本干预。

8

Jul 2026

人工智能推动美国小企业设立，推高初创企业更替并重塑科技以外招聘模式

市场别只盯AI“取代岗位”！美国优势在小企业快创立：AI降门槛、缩小最小有效规模，创办数激增可抵用工下降，小盘股与周期板块或迎补涨机会。

8

Jul 2026

欧元/美元上行动能减弱，波动率下滑转入区间盘整，期权卖方瞄准权利金

欧元兑美元冲高回落，动能转弱转入1.1360-1.1450区间。美CPI降温、央行偏观望压低波动。想赚权利金？低波动环境可考虑卖出宽跨策略。

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