Live Updates

17

Jul 2026

星展银行认为美元兑新元偏向下行，1.2860支撑位成进一步下跌关键

UOB称USD/SGD下行动能转强，1.2875/1.2860为关键支撑，失守或下看1.2830；上方1.2910压制，突破1.2930可缓解跌势风险，关注做空机会。

17

Jul 2026

受避险情绪升温、油价及美债收益率上行提振美元影响，墨西哥比索走弱；美元/墨西哥比索逼近17.43

墨西哥比索因避险升温与油价抬升承压走弱，美元受美债收益率与强劲数据支撑；美墨利差或收窄至250基点，USD/MXN上破17.55或指向18.12。

17

Jul 2026

美元兑人民币因美国通胀降温及中国央行中间价上调而走弱，人民币升值偏好增强

美国通胀降温压制美元，美联储收紧预期降温；叠加人行偏强中间价与贸易顺差，USD/CNY或下探6.72–6.74，但国内偏弱基本面或限制升值斜率。

17

Jul 2026

在欧元区通胀数据公布前，美国经济数据走强提振美元，欧元兑美元回落至1.1440附近

欧元兑美元回落至1.1440，受美国就业与零售数据韧性支撑美元；欧元区通胀若走弱或引发抛压。策略：买入短期看跌/熊市价差，关注1.1413破位与波动率。

17

Jul 2026

欧中贸易逆差达3760亿欧元，布鲁塞尔考虑于10月启用贸易防御工具

欧中12个月贸易逆差5月升至3760亿欧元、同比增8%。三个月磋商窗口至10月工具或落地，波动料上行；关注EUR/CNH期权与欧股汽车新能源对冲配置。

17

Jul 2026

金价跌破4,000美元，美元走强及油价主导的通胀担忧推升美国国债收益率

黄金跌破4000美元，受美元走强、美债收益率上行及油价推升通胀预期压制。关注3974破位风险，下看3941/3900；若上破4125-4175，空头逻辑或逆转。

17

Jul 2026

受伯纳姆内阁相关报道影响英镑走低，强劲GDP数据支撑GBP/USD多头仍瞄准1.3650

英镑兑美元因政治不确定性回落，但技术反转结构与期权风险逆转偏多支撑上行；把握回调窗口，衍生品布局多头，目标重测1.3650关键阻力位。

17

Jul 2026

在油价飙升背景下，市场对欧洲央行加息押注与日元避险买盘交织，欧元/日元在一个月高位附近企稳

EUR/JPY回落至185.80，地缘冲突推升油价与通胀预期，欧央行偏鹰支撑欧元、避险提振日元。警惕日方干预临界点，宜布局波动率策略与OTM看跌期权。

17

Jul 2026

英镑兑美元涨幅收窄，受强劲美国数据及霍尔木兹海峡风险推升避险需求影响

英镑兑美元自1.3545回撤至1.3375，强劲美国数据与地缘风险推升避险美元需求；英国GDP仅增0.1%显疲弱。关注美零售，警惕再挫50-100点。

17

Jul 2026

道指维持在52,800点附近，芯片股抛售拖累纳指；强劲数据强化市场对美联储“鹰派”立场的押注

半导体板块放量急挫触发风格轮动：道指逼近历史高位、标普与纳指承压。强劲宏观数据抬升鹰派预期，建议偏防御板块与信用价差，严守52,586支撑。

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