Live Updates

17

Jul 2026

韩国央行加息至2.75%，芯片板块波动加剧促使监管部门收紧对杠杆型ETF和ETN的管控

韩国央行意外加息25bp至2.75%，上修增长与核心通胀预期；监管收紧存储芯片杠杆ETF/ETN致股汇波动放大。衍生品宜布局短跨式与韩元障碍对冲。

17

Jul 2026

美元/日元在163下方停滞，日元干预效应减弱，CPI与美联储成市场焦点

美元/日元162.50下方窄幅震荡，利差275bp支撑但干预阴影犹存；波动率收敛致期权偏廉，建议跨式布局，紧盯日本CPI与美联储决议突破163关口。

17

Jul 2026

WTI油价跌破79美元，尽管中东风险犹存且供应充裕，80美元关口仍构成压制

WTI三冲80美元未果回落，技术面上行乏力；全球供给宽松与OPEC凝聚力走弱压制风险溢价。若守不住78/77.5支撑，或下探76；短线宜逢高做空严设止损。

17

Jul 2026

在通胀前景趋缓及美国数据支撑美元走强之际，澳元/美元在0.7000附近区间震荡

AUD/USD连续四日横盘0.7000，受50日EMA压制，动能趋弱。通胀预期回落令澳洲联储偏鸽；叠加中美政策与数据扰动，市场偏向下行，关注0.6900支撑。

17

Jul 2026

英镑走弱，因美国数据提振美元；市场关注下周英国通胀与劳动力数据考验

英镑本月重挫，GBP/USD冲击1.3550受阻回落至1.35下方；技术超买叠加英弱美强与政经不确定，隐波或上行，关注1.3450/1.34支撑及期权对冲。

17

Jul 2026

英镑兑日元自18年高位回落，日元走强，市场关注218.00支撑位

GBP/JPY冲击220.00未果回落至218.80，趋势仍偏多但RSI降温。关注218.00得失；破位宜用看跌期权对冲干预风险，守稳可布局看涨及区间价差策略。

17

Jul 2026

美元/离岸人民币（USD/CNH）回撤延续，空头瞄准6.7600，6.7820附近阻力压制上行空间

USD/CNH 冲高 6.7781 后回落，动能转弱。6.7660/6.7600 支撑受关注，6.7780-6.7820 阻力压制。策略：逢高做空、买短期 Put，失效位 6.7820。

17

Jul 2026

美元/泰铢突破33.50关口，套息收益偏低与油价走高加大泰铢承压

通胀降温令美元偏鸽，但USD/THB仍突破33.50：泰铢受负套息、油价抬升贸易条件压力及央行偏宽松制约，仍处温和高估；建议远期/看涨期权顺势做多美元。

17

Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎在避险情绪推动美元买盘下反弹，关注0.8100突破机会，因美联储与瑞士央行收益率差扩大

USD/CHF尾盘反弹逾0.40%，避险与强劲数据推升美元。0.8100成突破枢纽：上破看0.8171/0.8250并可布0.8150看涨期权；失守则警惕0.8000与均线支撑，建议止损0.8042下。

17

Jul 2026

美元指数在失业金申请人数下降后走强，欧元与英镑在欧元区通胀数据公布前走低

美元指数逼近100.80，初请失业金回落支撑但零售走弱压制；欧英澳货币承压，日元受干预预期牵制。期权聚焦DXY铁鹰、USDJPY日元看涨对冲、黄金牛市价差及WTI卖虚值看跌。

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