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Live Updates

19

Oct 2026

美元/日元持稳于158附近，市场对美联储加息押注降温，关注日本CPI及日本央行前景动向

美元/日元欧市早盘徘徊158，市场淡化美联储加息预期，聚焦日本CPI；植田称核心通胀近2%并主张渐进加息，关键阻力158.85/159.45。

19

Oct 2026

纽元/美元徘徊于0.5660附近，尽管新西兰贸易数据拖累，受中国数据提振纽元走强

NZD/USD 周初稳守 0.5660 附近，受中国 GDP、零售超预期提振对冲新西兰贸易逆差扩大全面影响，短线偏多；美元走弱助推，关注 0.5750 阻力与 0.5590 支撑。

19

Oct 2026

卢比延续涨势，AI概念股抛售拖累美元；印度央行流动性支持巩固卢比汇率

AI概念股抛压拖累美元指数，USD/INR回落至94.80附近；RBI通过VRR注入万亿卢比并强化外汇监管，政策与技术面共振，卢比延续升势、美元下行风险加剧。

19

Oct 2026

在美联储静默期临近、地缘政治风险支撑金价之际，黄金持于4,200美元下方

金价受美债收益率回落与加息预期降温支撑，但仍受阻4,200美元；地缘冲突推升油价与通胀溢价，建议以限定风险期权策略应对区间震荡。

19

Oct 2026

美国豁免对俄制裁推动供应增量并加剧地缘政治担忧，WTI跌破98美元

WTI终结七连涨回落至97.40美元；美国豁免部分对俄制裁或促成品油出口修复，土耳其承接增量。然中东冲突、霍尔木兹风险及俄境火情推升供应不确定性。

19

Oct 2026

植田称日本通胀接近2%目标，日本央行维持缩减购债规模方案

通胀逼近2%目标！植田和男称工资—价格正反馈强化，需求复苏支撑核心通胀锚定；警惕中东冲突推升能源供给冲击，购债缩减框架不变，紧盯长端利率波动。

19

Oct 2026

法德国债收益率利差扩大及欧元区政治因素施压，欧元兑美元走低

欧元兑美元回落至1.1215，法国财政政治风险推升法德利差破150bp创2011新高；拉加德促法自救。美联储偏鸽观望，维持利率概率升至83.9%。技术RSI37.5偏弱。

16

Oct 2026

RaboResearch：随着美国市场准入收紧，欧洲面临来自中国出口导向型制造业的压力加剧

RaboResearch警示：中国产能驱动增长受地产、杠杆与内需疲软掣肘，出口或转向欧洲；短期利好压价，但或挤出本土供给、侵蚀利润并加剧战略脆弱。

16

Oct 2026

美元/瑞郎跌破0.8300关口，双顶形态风险加剧，关注0.8227支撑位

美元/瑞郎跌破0.8300至0.8269，RSI动能降温，“双顶”逼近确认：上看0.8350/0.8400；若失守0.8227，或下探50日SMA 0.8189及100日SMA 0.8116。

16

Oct 2026

美元/加元走低：美债收益率下行削弱美元强势，尽管美国数据稳健且加息预期升温

美元/加元周四回落0.30%，美债收益率下行压制美元；AI债务融资担忧致避险升温、资金回流国债。美PPI与零售强劲，仍支撑12月再加息预期。

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