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30

Jul 2026

美联储维持利率不变，叠加美国经济数据走软及欧元区经济增长提振，欧元兑美元走高

欧元兑美元上探1.1534创阶段新高：美联储按兵不动叠加美国GDP与核心PCE走弱压制美元，欧元区GDP超预期提振欧元，动量策略聚焦看涨期权与价差布局。

30

Jul 2026

日元走强，央行干预传闻再起，日本央行政策决议前市场关注升温

日元美盘急升引爆“潜在干预”重估：美元/日元跌至159.50。美国GDP低于预期压制美元。聚焦日本央行前瞻指引，警惕套利平仓推升波动率。

30

Jul 2026

美元/日元下跌：疲软美国数据与美联储按兵不动令市场焦点转向日本央行决议

美国GDP与PCE双双降温，美联储按兵不动致美元走弱，美元/日元162.90承压。日本央行决议或引爆波动，建议期权看跌及熊市价差布局回撤。

30

Jul 2026

美联储维持利率不变并释放鹰派信号后美元走弱；收益率曲线趋陡、油价支撑美债收益率，股市小幅上扬

鹰派按兵不动难撑美元：加息预期回撤致DXY疲弱，曲线陡峭化（短端下行、长端抬升）凸显期限溢价重定价；原油70-100震荡，科技财报托底股指。

30

Jul 2026

俄罗斯国际储备升至7320亿美元，在制裁背景下进一步夯实外汇储备缓冲空间

俄罗斯央行国际储备意外增至7,321亿美元，周增92亿美元逼近高位；或受金价与能源出口支撑，强化储备缓冲，压低短期违约风险并影响大宗商品与汇率波动。

30

Jul 2026

英镑在英国央行分歧维持利率决定后走强，但市场预计其相对欧元和美元的涨势将逐步消退

英银6:3维持利率，鹰派分歧推升英镑0.3%，但通胀二轮效应有限，9月加息预期或下调。机构建议逢高做空GBP/USD，布局EUR/GBP反弹至0.86。

30

Jul 2026

美国6月PCE通胀降温，美元持稳，市场聚焦区间震荡交易策略

美国6月PCE通胀继续回落：总体3.7%、核心3.3%贴合预期，美元指数波动有限。市场或转向区间策略：外汇卖铁鹰、美债做跨期，股指低VIX买保护性看跌。

30

Jul 2026

纳斯达克指数测试关键支撑位，尽管微软与Meta财报喜忧参半，韩国综合股价指数（KOSPI）及费城半导体指数（SOXX）仍大幅下挫

全球科技股抛售逼近关键支撑：KOSPI自高点回撤44%、SOXX跌30%、纳指跌破50-EMA并测试26,800支撑；虽微软业绩强、Meta利润承压，去杠杆或放大波动。

30

Jul 2026

美国核心PCE通胀维持在3.3%，强化市场对美联储暂停加息的预期，并利好卖出波动率策略

核心PCE通胀6月同比3.3%持平预期，通胀路径趋稳但仍高于目标：关注VIX回落下“波动率挤压”，短久期卖虚值跨式/宽跨式及SOFR区间策略。

30

Jul 2026

美国6月PCE通胀维持在3.7%，强化市场对美联储暂停加息的预期

美国6月PCE同比升3.7%符合预期，通胀黏性但无意外，政策或维持观望；衍生品关注卖波动策略，固收建议国债期货做收益率曲线趋平布局。

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