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13

Aug 2026

由于新西兰通胀预期降温且美国PPI走软，纽元/美元小幅下跌，市场波动性仍受关注

纽元/美元徘徊0.5850：新西兰通胀预期下行削弱RBNZ加息定价；美国PPI回落压制美元。技术受制均线，关注0.5821破位，期权与互换对冲布局。

13

Aug 2026

英镑小幅走高；美国PPI回落削弱美联储加息预期，美元指数跌破100

英镑借美元回落温和反弹：美国PPI与初请走弱压低美联储再紧缩预期，市场押注9月暂停概率升至约60%；英国GDP增速放缓，后续通胀与信心数据或重塑定价。

13

Aug 2026

美国CPI趋稳，美联储加息概率回落，美元维持区间震荡，套息交易获得支撑

美国CPI符合预期、美联储加息预期回落，美元区间震荡、风险资产反弹；建议谨慎维持套息，防日元干预与美债长端上行，配置互换期权及短期限权利金策略。

13

Aug 2026

美国四周期国库券收益率回落至3.625%，强化市场对美联储开启降息周期的预期

美国4周期国库券中标收益率降至3.625%，较前值3.64%回落1.5个基点，释放短端融资成本边际下行信号，强化宽松预期与前端利率衍生品配置及曲线陡峭化交易机会。

13

Aug 2026

美元/加元维持在1.3940附近，疲软美国数据抵消油价走弱及加元疲软影响

美国PPI与就业数据偏软压制美元，但WTI跌破80美元拖累加元，美元/加元1.3940区间震荡；建议期权区间收权利金并以价外看涨对冲潜在鹰派及地缘风险。

13

Aug 2026

英国第二季度GDP超预期，人工智能驱动的投资支撑增长，但增速放缓令英镑前景蒙阴

英国Q2 GDP环比0.4%由投资与消费驱动，但ICT/AI动能趋顶；H2或仅0.1%受政策与外部逆风拖累。建议做空GBP、接收互换、做多英债并买跨式押注波动率上行。

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