Live Updates

24

Aug 2026

新西兰零售销售大幅下滑再度引发纽元下行风险，强化降息预期并加剧股市谨慎情绪

新西兰二季度零售销售环比降0.5%较预期低0.6个百分点，消费动能转弱或强化内需偏软预期，纽元承压；降息预期升温、掉期利率或下行，股市可选消费板块面临回撤风险。

24

Aug 2026

新西兰零售销售超预期，提振纽元并抑制市场对新西兰央行降息的预期

新西兰二季度零售销售环比超预期增0.7%，凸显内需韧性。市场或上调增长与通胀定价，提振纽元并削弱降息预期，短端利率与股指估值承压。

24

Aug 2026

COT数据显示：随着价格上涨，澳元、天然气与金属市场对冲者持仓升至极端水平

COT极值提示套保盘偏极端、投机仓位分化：澳元/天然气等仍净空却反弹；黄金白银指数触底但多头扩张；WTI多头加码，美元回落。

23

Aug 2026

美国债务突破40万亿美元，财政部回购操作提振黄金与比特币突破上行，股市震荡

美债突破40万亿美元，财政部意外扩大量化回购引发流动性再定价：比特币、贵金属与外汇破位上行，全球股指转弱；警惕VIX飙升与周期窗口波动风险。

23

Aug 2026

尽管第二季度销售额大幅增长、利润跳升并将股票回购计划延长5000万美元，ATRenew股价仍徘徊在4美元附近

ATRenew二季度营收+32%、利润高增，6·18换新驱动；股价4美元低位叠加5000万美元回购与海外扩张，期权隐波或低估，上行机会凸显。

23

Aug 2026

英国皇家造币厂民调显示：通胀担忧持续，英国储户懊悔错过金银上涨行情

英国皇家铸币局调查揭示：三分之一成年人懊悔错过金银涨势；金五年涨近150%、银近200%，但配置率偏低。央行增持叠加通胀焦虑，贵金属仍具上行交易机会。

23

Aug 2026

印度黄金在6月回调后企稳，进口与ETF资金流入支撑反弹

印度金价回调后强势反弹：8月前两周卢比计价涨7%，ETF重现净流入、美元走弱助推。贴水收窄至45美元、进口翻倍，MCX多头交易窗口开启。

22

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：原油多头大幅增加，加元空头回补；日元及VIX情绪走弱

CFTC显示资金偏多由原油领涨：WTI净多头激增但仍低位；加元空头回补酝酿挤压。日元与VIX转空，黄金多头拥挤警惕回撤风险。

22

Aug 2026

在美国财政部回购削弱美元之际，澳元/美元走强；技术性突破及收益率支撑澳元

AUD/USD周线涨逾1.2%并突破0.7149，受美债回购致美元走弱及美澳利差收窄支撑；上看0.7200/0.7227，跌破0.7100警惕回撤至0.7069、0.6999。

22

Aug 2026

美元/瑞郎周线收跌，美国国债收益率下行提振瑞郎，空头关注0.8000关口

USD/CHF周五微升至0.8010但周跌1.49%，受美债收益率回落与避险瑞郎走强压制；区间0.8086-0.7976震荡，RSI转弱，跌破0.8000或下探0.7933。

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