Live Updates

24

Aug 2026

在印度央行遏制波动之际，卢比持稳；油价风险仍存，期权交易员关注美元/印度卢比区间震荡走势

资本流入叠加RBI干预支撑卢比，USD/INR在95.70附近区间震荡；中东制裁推升油价或扰动。策略：卖宽跨/铁秃鹰，配布伦特虚值看涨对冲，逢96.00做多INR。

24

Aug 2026

在国债回购操作与对伊朗制裁临近之际，美元指数徘徊于三个月低位附近

美元指数跌至98.80逼近三个月低位，财政部加大长端回购引发财政可持续性忧虑压制汇价；但对伊朗制裁或推升避险需求，短线波动加剧。

24

Aug 2026

受获利了结影响，WTI回落；美国拟加码对伊朗制裁，供应风险仍处高位

WTI两连涨后回落至84.8美元：美拟对伊朗祭史上最严制裁、霍尔木兹通行降超20%推升风险溢价；柴油库存偏紧支撑油价，技术面仍偏多。

24

Aug 2026

英镑维持在2月高位附近，美国收益率预期走软令美元承压

英镑兑美元逼近年内高位续强，美元受降息预期与美债回购扩容压制。然美伊紧张推升避险，市场聚焦PCE与杰克逊霍尔，关注1.3660阻力。

24

Aug 2026

中国人民银行将美元兑人民币中间价定于路透预测值上方，引发人民币波动及衍生品仓位调整

人民币中间价意外偏弱至6.7841，显著高于预测，释放抑制升值信号；利差收窄或推升USD/CNY隐含波动率，期权、跨式及互换交易机会浮现。

24

Aug 2026

欧元/美元徘徊于1.1680附近，美国上市公司回购施压美元，欧洲央行流动性调整及伊朗风险隐现

EUR/USD连涨至1.1680附近；美财政部拟将长期债回购翻倍至超40亿美元压低收益率、削弱美元。欧元受通胀预期2.9%与ECB结构性LTRO预期支撑，但美伊紧张或触发避险美元反扑。

24

Aug 2026

美元/加元走高，美国对加拿大加征50%关税，渥太华准备于9月实施报复性措施

美加谈判破裂后美国对部分加拿大全面加征50%关税，加方9月8日起反制。USD/CAD升至1.3787，隐含波动率或上行，期权与能源价差对冲需求陡增。

24

Aug 2026

新西兰零售销售不及预期，纽元/美元跌破0.6000；市场焦点转向美国PCE数据

纽元受疲弱零售数据拖累跌破0.6000，地缘风险推升美元避险买盘；市场聚焦周三美国PCE。策略上建议布置NZD/USD看跌及做多AUD/NZD，并配置短跨式管理波动。

24

Aug 2026

新西兰第二季度零售销售下滑0.5%，降息押注升温拖累纽元走低

意外疲弱：新西兰二季度零售量环比降0.5%远逊预期，抹去前季升幅；NZD/USD承压至0.5973，RBNZ降息预期升温，关注利率互换与看跌期权对冲。

24

Aug 2026

新西兰第二季度剔除汽车零售销售增长0.7%，显示家庭支出趋于疲软

新西兰二季度剔除机动车零售销售额环比增0.7%，较前季1.0%回落0.3个百分点。基础零售动能减弱，家庭消费降温，后续需求韧性面临考验。

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