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5

Aug 2026

美元走软、油价下跌缓和对美联储利率预期，金价攀升逼近4,150美元

金价连涨触两周高，美元走软与油价下挫降通胀预期助攻；但美联储偏鹰压制。技术突破200EMA，回调买入看4,150，期权策略控风险。

5

Aug 2026

在重启霍尔木兹海峡谈判缓解供应担忧、美国股市上涨之际，WTI跌向74美元

霍尔木兹海峡重开曙光令 WTI 回落至 73.80 美元；美油库存意外累增加剧下行。策略：卖 Call、熊市认沽价差/日历价差；留意 SPR 低位支撑与波动收缩。

5

Aug 2026

印度央行料维持回购利率在5.25%，卢比关注资金流入与美元/印度卢比阻力位

周三RBI料按兵不动：回购利率维持5.25%，通胀4.4%仍在目标内。外资与FCNR流入偏强，USD/INR技术偏空，关注94.80支撑、96.00阻力。

5

Aug 2026

堪萨斯城联储施密德警告通胀仍令人担忧，并指AI支出或成推升物价的潜在推手

堪城联储施密德警告通胀仍高、政策不够紧，AI投资或推升物价；美元短线反应淡，但鹰派信号或逼市场重定价，利多DXY与美元期权。

5

Aug 2026

干预后欧元/日元反弹，但收益率利差与技术面令下行压力仍成焦点

EUR/JPY干预后反弹至181.90仍偏空：RSI下滑、受阻200日均线183.74。若失守180恐探179.30/178.82；站上182才有望回183。建议空头或买put。

5

Aug 2026

新西兰失业率升至5.6%，降息押注升温打压纽元

失业率意外跳升冲击纽元！纽西兰次季失业率升至5.6%高于预期，NZD/USD走弱；就业增0.5%难吸纳参与率上扬，市场押注RBNZ更激进降息。

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