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5

Aug 2026

英国服务业PMI优于预期，支撑英镑并强化英国央行利率“更高更久”预期

英国7月服务业PMI升至52.1、胜预期，服务业扩张更具韧性。英镑或获支撑，BoE高利率更久；可看多FTSE 250，谨慎FTSE 100。

5

Aug 2026

全球股市在油价下跌、通胀缓和及AI支出信心回升带动下攀升至纪录高位

全球股市齐创新高：油价回落、通胀预期降温与AI资本开支信心回升推升风险偏好。美股科技与半导体领涨；VIX低企，期权策略宜买入近价看涨、牛市价差，并以能源看跌对冲。

5

Aug 2026

风险偏好回升推动美股上涨，油价因霍尔木兹海峡通行希望下滑；焦点转向美国就业与ISM数据

中东缓和憧憬推动风险偏好升温，油价因霍尔木兹谈判回落、金价飙至4170。美股再创新高待美数据。策略：油/纽元买跌，黄金牛差，股指买保护。

5

Aug 2026

风险偏好回升；美国与伊朗达成协议希望打压油价、提振全球股市并令加密货币承压

贝森特暗示美伊协议近了？风险偏好飙升：油价回落、标普500站上7600创新高，美元偏软日元脆弱；黄金白银走强，加密落后横盘，关注纽失业率与周五美非农。

5

Aug 2026

印度卢比涨幅收窄，因印度央行维持利率不变、油价下跌，美元兑印度卢比自月度低点反弹

RBI维持利率5.25%与中性立场，卢比涨幅收窄。油价因霍尔木兹协议憧憬走软，USD/INR逼近94.80后反弹。技术偏空，关注ADP与原油冲击风险。

5

Aug 2026

美元/瑞郎跌向0.8080，霍尔木兹外交缓和削弱避险需求，利差支撑美元

USD/CHF 连跌至0.8080，霍尔木兹外交缓和降避险压美元。惟美债息稳、瑞利率0%与弱CPI撑反弹。策略：部署看涨价差，0.8000设防。

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