Live Updates

16

Jul 2026

WTI油价回落至79美元下方，美国—伊朗紧张局势推升供应风险并支撑看涨倾向

WTI回落至79美元下方但维持偏多：美伊对峙及霍尔木兹风险抬升供给溢价，叠加美库存大降与中国PMI扩张；技术突破200日EMA，建议逢低做多、期权布局上行。

16

Jul 2026

在美联储降息预期降温与央行购金支撑前景下，沙特金价小幅下跌

沙特金价回落引关注：克金降至486.78里亚尔。美联储降息预期、美元走弱与央行持续增持构成支撑，回调或为中期配置及期权多头入场窗口。

16

Jul 2026

菲律宾金价回落：美元走软及降息预期支撑整体看涨格局

菲律宾金价回落：每克7,991比索。美元走弱与降息预期强化支撑，央行增持与地缘风险托底。策略：低波动布局长久期看涨，并配保护性看跌对冲。

16

Jul 2026

韩国央行加息后韩元走强，因美国通胀放缓削弱美联储收紧预期

韩国央行三年半来首度加息至2.75%，韩元延续两周强势；叠加美国通胀走软压低美联储加息定价，政策分化驱动USD/KRW下行，建议布局看跌期权捕捉回落。

16

Jul 2026

韩国5月M2增速加快，推动韩元走强并加大韩国央行收紧压力

韩国5月M2同比增速升至9.2%，流动性扩张提速引爆市场预期：通胀与加息压力上行，韩元或承压并推升USD/KRW，股债波动风险同步抬升。

9

Jul 2026

美国EIA天然气库存增幅超预期：夏季高温风险与供应过剩并存

EIA当周天然气库存增61Bcf略超预期，working gas升至3252Bcf、较五年均值高逾350Bcf；高产与库存盈余压制价格，但高温与LNG出口或推升波动，关注跨式及跨期价差。

9

Jul 2026

随着美元兑新元利差扩大，新加坡元短端利率面临上行压力，金管局动向在即

警惕：新元短端利率或迎“补涨”重定价。美联储加息预期黏性、美元强势致美新利差逾200bp；USD/SGD若破1.30及MAS或不再陡峭化NEER，均推升前端收益率。

9

Jul 2026

美元/离岸人民币（USD/CNH）动能减弱后转入盘整；交易员关注6.8080突破及区间信号

USD/CNH自反弹高位回落，动能衰减，市场转向区间思维：短线或守6.7950-6.8100，若收稳6.8080上看6.8195；宏观利差与政策容忍弱势提供支撑。

9

Jul 2026

在中东局势紧张及各国央行聚焦通胀背景下，美元走软推动欧元/美元走高

美元走软叠加中东风险，欧元/美元小幅上行；霍尔木兹扰动推升油价与通胀预期，市场重估ECB与美联储更久高利率，波动率或上行。

9

Jul 2026

国际货币基金组织下调2026年全球经济增长预期，通胀再度加速推升滞胀风险，股票资产承压

警惕：BNY称IMF下调2026年全球增速至3.0%、通胀升至4.7%，滞胀风险抬头；高估值与动能放缓压制股市，宜转向防御与期权对冲。

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