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16

Jul 2026

AMD涨势逼近第三浪（III）峰值，第四浪（IV）回调空间打开，随后有望延续更广泛上行趋势

AMD 自 4 月低点呈 III 浪冲动上行，末端楔形暗示动能衰竭：短期或进入 IV 浪回撤，目标 360–436，270 上方多头结构不变，期权策略可先防守后布局。

16

Jul 2026

瑞士央行会议纪要释放政策维持稳定信号，瑞郎走强令干预风险仍存

SNB称货币条件适宜、通胀压力稳定，短期或不行动但倾向外汇干预；地缘风险推升预期。瑞郎偏强或触发逆风操作，建议布局USD/CHF虚值看涨与对冲策略。

16

Jul 2026

德国商业银行认为，在加拿大央行（BoC）维持利率不变的情况下，美元/加元（USD/CAD）下行空间取决于美元走弱

加拿大就业与央行决议显示加元驱动不足，USD/CAD下行更倚美元走弱。通胀降温+降息定价强化偏空；建议以短期限看跌期权低成本布局并控反转风险。

16

Jul 2026

美国股指期货小幅走低；中东紧张局势推升油价，零售销售与企业财报公布前市场趋于谨慎

零售销售与初请数据前，美股指期货微跌。中东冲突推升油价、二次通胀预期升温，扰动美联储路径与收益率；关注奈飞等财报，建议原油看涨、股指跨式及虚值看跌对冲。

16

Jul 2026

欧元/美元在美国通胀放缓拖累美元、欧洲央行维持鹰派立场之际，关注突破1.1500关口

欧元兑美元逼近1.1485-1.1500关键阻力，美元受PPI/CPI降温走弱、Fed加息预期下调；ECB偏鹰提振欧元。突破可布局看涨期权指向1.1620，失守关注1.1378/1.1324防守。

16

Jul 2026

英镑企稳：英国GDP反弹、产出下滑，市场焦点转向就业与通胀

英镑在5月GDP小幅转正、工业产出低迷背景下总体持平；美国PPI走软压制美元、英国政局趋稳提供支撑。下周就业与通胀揭示方向。关注期权策略。

16

Jul 2026

随着美德收益率利差收窄支撑多头倾向，欧元/美元突破1.1482阻力位

EUR/USD突破阻力续涨至1.1482，修正区间预期；短线或试1.1490、阻力1.1520，支撑1.1450/1.1405。利差收窄与制造业企稳助多头延伸。

16

Jul 2026

随着三角形整理形态收敛、关键支撑位面临考验，美元/日元下滑逼近162.00

美元/日元回落逼近162.00，三角整理显现。美6月PPI下滑叠加CPI降温，强化7月按兵不动预期。关注161.90支撑与162.40-162.50阻力，破位指向160.49/163.50。

16

Jul 2026

英国数据喜忧参半，英央行加息预期令英镑受限谨慎，欧元兑英镑小幅走高

英国数据分化致英镑承压，EUR/GBP回升至0.8475。BoE加息预期升温、ECB数据依赖强化，区间短跨与做多波动率、日历价差或成交易亮点。

16

Jul 2026

在芯片股暴跌拖累下亚洲股市下挫，美伊紧张局势推升油价；韩国央行加息

半导体抛售叠加美伊紧张推升避险，亚股承压而港股逆势走强；油价上行重燃通胀与加息预期。关注期权对冲、原油看涨与恒指多/韩股空配对交易。

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