Live Updates

24

Sep 2026

美国4周期国库券收益率小幅升至3.85%，推动短期融资成本走高

4周美债拍卖中标收益率升至3.85%引发短端融资成本上行警报；衍生品宜锁定无风险收益，择机布局VIX与SOFR曲线及美元期权套利。

24

Sep 2026

股市回落，油价延续涨势；Meta表现优于大盘，期权对冲及相对价值交易升温

油价动能推升通胀预期，股指再承压，资金或加速重配能源敞口；Meta逆势领涨凸显科技分化。策略：指数短期Put对冲、原油Bull Call Spread、Meta借方价差。

24

Sep 2026

渣打银行警示：2027年欧洲选举在即，法国极右翼风险恐冲击市场

渣打警示2027欧洲政治右倾加剧，法国大选成主要尾部风险源，或推升主权利差与股汇波动；建议尽早配置欧元看跌期权、股指跨式及法意主权CDS对冲。

24

Sep 2026

随着美联储加息预期升温且加拿大零售销售疲软，美元/加元升至7月中旬高位

USD/CAD创新高至1.4113，月涨近2%。美加两年期利差扩至150bp叠加美联储再加息预期，压制加元；油价走强失灵，期权逢低做多。

24

Sep 2026

美国制造业复兴催生衍生品交易机会：高科技产业增速超越传统工业

美国制造业ISM回升显复苏拐点，未来三年产出或年增1.5%–2%。配置先进制造、半导体与航天看涨期权，对冲传统劳动密集行业看跌，并布局公用事业与波动率交易。

24

Sep 2026

美元指数（DXY）回落至1.03，为欧元兑美元（EUR/USD）空头布局创造条件；10年期国债收益率5.13%成市场关注焦点

DXY回落至1.03被视为可操作下行目标，或触发欧元兑美元重新做空；关注1.15–1.1550入场区及10年美债5.13%演化，贵金属比值转强，比特币仅述技术面。

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