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25

Sep 2026

美元/日元涨势延续：美债收益率上行提振，160附近干预风险成市场焦点

美元走强与美日利差扩张推升USD/JPY连涨至158.8逼近160；美债收益率创高、油价扰动通胀。警惕日本干预风险，宜配置短期限虚值看跌及跨式期权。

25

Sep 2026

美国7年期国债拍卖收益率跃升至5.085%，强化“利率更高更久”预期

警报拉响：美国7年期国债拍卖中标收益率升至5.085%，较上期上行57.3个基点，融资成本抬升，凸显期限溢价上行与通胀、供给忧虑，加剧利率波动预期。

24

Sep 2026

道指下跌，30年期美债收益率升至2004年以来最高，市场重燃加息押注

30年期美债收益率飙至2004年以来高位，长端利率挤压估值致道指跌破51,100。美联储仍偏鹰，建议偏空并借助期权对冲、布局利差扩张与能源通胀。

24

Sep 2026

在100美元油价与美联储鹰派立场推动下，美国国债收益率上行，美元走强，5%上限临近

油价重返100美元叠加美国PMI走强与FOMC偏鹰，美债收益率曲线同步上行并推升美元。中期国债供给与3.7–4.7万亿法案加剧利率敏感，关注5%拐点。

24

Sep 2026

美国4周期国库券收益率小幅升至3.85%，推动短期融资成本走高

4周美债拍卖中标收益率升至3.85%引发短端融资成本上行警报；衍生品宜锁定无风险收益，择机布局VIX与SOFR曲线及美元期权套利。

24

Sep 2026

股市回落，油价延续涨势；Meta表现优于大盘，期权对冲及相对价值交易升温

油价动能推升通胀预期，股指再承压，资金或加速重配能源敞口；Meta逆势领涨凸显科技分化。策略：指数短期Put对冲、原油Bull Call Spread、Meta借方价差。

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