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Live Updates

7

Oct 2026

在油价飙升及政治因素拖累下，欧元兑英镑连续九日下跌势头延续

EUR/GBP连续九日下挫、累计跌近1.6%，逼近0.8455低点；胡塞袭击推升油价压制欧元，法债收益率下行扰动短暂。关注0.8410支撑与0.8500突破阻力。

7

Oct 2026

中国9月外汇储备升至3.4万亿美元，超出市场预期

9月中国外汇储备意外升至3.4万亿美元、超预期，凸显央行稳汇“弹药”充足；或收窄人民币波动区间，利好USD/CNH空头、AUD/NZD及商品与波动率策略布局。

7

Oct 2026

受美元走强及美联储会议纪要公布在即影响，金价徘徊在两个月低位附近

FOMC纪要前美元走强与85%加息预期施压，金价徘徊4,100美元两月低位；中东风险抬升油价与美债收益率。若失守4,100，或下探3,938，反弹受阻4,228-4,248。

7

Oct 2026

印度央行将回购利率上调至5.50%，并采取“校准式收紧”政策立场，卢比与债券收益率成市场焦点

突发：印度央行加息25基点至5.50%，立场转“校准式紧缩”，警惕油价与通胀上行；卢比波动或放大，债券收益率承压，衍生品宜加强对冲。

7

Oct 2026

墨西哥比索随美元因获利回吐走软而走强；市场静待美联储会议纪要

美元回落与美债收益率下行推升墨西哥比索，USD/MXN跌至17.97。消费信心走弱、通胀与央行纪要待揭示；技术面偏多，期权策略捕捉上测18.12。

7

Oct 2026

植田和男暗示有条件收紧政策，美元/日元维持在158；市场计入10月加息概率

日银植田释放依赖数据的再紧缩信号，美元/日元守158关口；市场仅计入10月加息25%。工资与FOMC纪要或触发重定价，警惕日方干预致急跌。

7

Oct 2026

美元指数跌破102，欧元与澳元走强，油价在美联储会议纪要公布前下跌

美元指数失守102引发做空期权机遇，风险偏好回升；欧元、英镑、澳元走强，日元宜区间策略；黄金受益走软美元，WTI跌破87需对冲。

7

Oct 2026

市场聚焦日本央行10月报告，日元走弱，期货市场计入约四分之一的加息概率

隔夜期货仅隐含日央行10月加息概率约26%，但东京核心通胀回升或促报告提前2%达标时点，叠加美日利差2.75个百分点与157支撑博弈，日元重定价在即。

7

Oct 2026

戴利警示：关税、AI芯片与油价冲击或致通胀黏性上升，美联储不排除进一步收紧货币政策

戴利力挺9月加息，称关税、AI芯片瓶颈与中东油价冲击或推升通胀黏性；交易员宜聚焦短端利率对冲、熊市趋平与商品期权双重防御。

7

Oct 2026

加元企稳，魁北克省选举与阿尔伯塔省公投令政治风险持续受关注

加元兑美元持平，魁北克少数派执政与独立公投承诺加剧中期政治溢价；阿尔伯塔10月19日公投成新焦点。USD/CAD超买现反转信号，1.42承压，1.40或面临回落。

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