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by VT Markets
Oct 16, 2026
超预期的美国CPI最初推动美元与美国国债收益率上行，但随着市场重新评估美联储进一步收紧政策的风险，这两项涨势随后回吐。DXY指数未能守住涨幅，而隐含的美联储加息概率亦出现回撤，显示交易员愈发关注进一步政策紧缩对经济增长与企业盈利可能造成的冲击。
政治不确定性同样拖累美股，并进而抑制更广泛的美元反弹。随着中期选举临近，市场定价开始质疑此前“共和党失去众议院、保住参议院”的基准情景，预测市场则指向民主党“横扫”风险上升。该情景通常与更严厉的监管审查、更高程度的政策僵局以及高企股票估值可持续性的担忧相关。
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