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31

Jul 2026

美元兑日元因大量抛售重挫5日元，市场聚焦日本央行决议及美国数据

美元/日元盘中急挫至159.50附近，跌2.31%并失守50日EMA；成交放量且疑似集中抛盘。美GDP与核心PCE偏弱压制美元；市场转向日本央行决议及东京CPI，关注年内加息路径。

31

Jul 2026

日元反弹加剧市场对日本央行决议的关注，干预猜测升温

日元急涨引发疑似干预，市场聚焦日本央行周五决议：料利率维持1%，关键看展望报告与植田表态，判断通胀、再加息路径及汇率后势。

31

Jul 2026

估算显示，中国隐性购金缩小与美国的储备差距，香港打造黄金清算枢纽

重磅信号：估算显示中国隐性购金或令储备超5,000吨，逼近美国；香港清算体系推进定价权东移，金价底部支撑强化，衍生品宜加仓长久期看涨。

31

Jul 2026

对美国黄金审计的质疑及中国购买激增推动金价看涨预期升温

审计缺口引爆！美8,133.5吨黄金久缺独立核验；中国官方2,346吨却疑隐性增持。隐性买盘与高盛4,900美元预测抬升金价，衍生品宜逢回调布局。

31

Jul 2026

美联储维持利率不变，三名委员投反对票；在指引趋于温和且资产负债表扩大之际，长期美债遭抛售

美联储按兵不动但三票主张加息，沃什压缩前瞻指引引爆预期真空；长端收益率跳升、资产负债表回扩至6.75万亿，波动率交易与曲线策略机会凸显。

31

Jul 2026

苹果因服务业务不及预期下跌，亚马逊凭借 AWS 驱动的盈利超预期大涨

业绩分化引爆波动率：苹果Q3超预期却因服务收入不及预期盘后跌4%；亚马逊Q2在AWS增速37%驱动下大涨8%，期权配对交易窗口开启。

31

Jul 2026

美元跌破100关口，疲软美国数据与日元飙升引发干预传闻升温

美元受GDP低于预期、核心PCE降温拖累，DXY失守100；日元疑似干预急升加压。欧英数据偏强推升欧镑，贵金属走强；关注BoJ与欧通胀。

31

Jul 2026

中共中央政治局释放财政加力信号但暂无大规模刺激，提振中国资产并推升收益率风险

7月政治局偏克制，转向2026年下半年财政执行：加快支出、债券资金落地基建。预计剩余7.2万亿元投放提振增长；建议配置恒指看涨、做空10年期国债，并以USD/CNH期权对冲摩擦。

31

Jul 2026

在美债收益率、霍尔木兹风险及州选举引发波动之际，马来西亚林吉特面临下行压力

高美债收益率叠加中东与马政风险，林吉特短期承压，USD/MYR波动溢价或上升；央行与国企回流或托底，建议买入短期限看涨/长跨式并择机逢高做空。

31

Jul 2026

韩国对杠杆ETF实施限制提振韩元；在押注韩国央行收紧政策背景下，美元/韩元跌至五个月低点

重磅监管加码：韩方收紧杠杆ETF、上调准入并抬升交易成本，叠加央行偏鹰与结汇回流，USD/KRW跌至1,444；建议布局韩元走强、利率互换与卖波动率。

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