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30

Jul 2026

欧元区GDP增速与美国持平，人工智能与航空航天支撑韧性，能源驱动型通胀冲击下表现稳健

欧元区与美国Q2 GDP环比同增0.4%；欧元区超预期支撑欧元走强。中东能源通胀扰动未改制造业韧性。建议配置EUR/USD看涨期权、空短端美债，并做多欧洲军工航天电气化。

30

Jul 2026

随着央行将黄金运回国内并推动东方黄金定价话语权提升，黄金表现超越美国国债

黄金或超越美债成首要储备资产：央行加速购金并回运压缩实物供给，香港—上金所联通强化东方定价；西方纸黄金流动性承压，空头挤压与重估预期升温。

30

Jul 2026

沃什称美联储维持利率不变或致市场定价错误，伊朗供应冲击推升油价并加剧滞胀忧虑

地缘冲突引发能源化肥供给冲击推升通胀，美联储暂停加息或重演“暂时性”误判。警惕SOFR低估转鹰风险，宜做多利率上行、TIPS/CPI互换与波动率对冲滞胀。

30

Jul 2026

WTI原油买入策略瞄准跳空缺口回补，Petar Jaćimović详解交易布局

来源发布WTI买入交易简报，围绕“缺口回补”构建入场与风险控制框架；作者Petar Jaćimović，并披露其出生于1989年塞尔维亚雅戈丁那。

30

Jul 2026

美联储暂停加息提振半导体板块反弹，纳斯达克指数走高；银行股与矿业股推动富时100指数创历史新高

买盘回流推升全球股市，半导体领涨纳指；美联储按兵不动致美元走弱，商品与富时100再创新高。财报季临近，建议铜、矿企看涨与纳指保护性看跌对冲。

30

Jul 2026

英国央行维持利率于3.75%不变，反对票增多，SONIA期货被认为估值偏低

英银维持银行利率3.75%且投票更分化，通胀央预测下修至一年后2.6%并示意两次加息；若加息难落地，做多SONIA期货、配虚值payer并布局2-10年金边陡峭化。

30

Jul 2026

在微软领涨科技股飙升推动下，美股反弹；上涨广度收窄，债券收益率触及2007年以来新高

美股反弹却广度失效：微软暴涨托举纳指，道指结构性失真。长端美债收益率飙升、滞胀信号与油价走强共振，衍生品宜偏防御，警惕后续深度回撤。

30

Jul 2026

美元指数下跌，干预传闻推动日元大涨，疲弱美国数据推升市场波动率

日元急升拖累美元指数回落，美元/日元失守160；美国GDP与核心PCE走弱压制加息预期。策略：布局跨式期权、DXY看跌、利率期货多头及原油看涨对冲。

30

Jul 2026

马来西亚GDP增速加快，市场预计国家银行维持利率不变；补贴“缓冲”令通胀保持受控

马来西亚二季度GDP同比5.8%超预期，通胀2%温和，预计国行维持OPR2.75%中性；策略：收取固定IRS、做多林吉特股指、布局低波动率期权。

30

Jul 2026

英镑走强：在日元领涨美元下跌及美国数据走软之际，英国央行维持利率不变

英央行6-3维持利率偏鹰推升英镑；日元疑似干预致美元/日元暴跌400点拖累美元。美GDP与核心PCE走弱强化滞胀忧虑，期权策略捕捉波动与突破。

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