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Live Updates

31

Jul 2026

美元指数形成双顶，欧元/美元与英镑/美元上破走高；黄金三角形整理，数字货币处于关键抉择点

外汇与贵金属进入关键拐点：美元指数疑似双顶，欧元、英镑走强；日元交叉反弹，USD/CAD 逼近1.40。黄金三角收敛待突破，加密临抉择。

31

Jul 2026

科技股领涨推动美股反弹，微软大涨抵消30年期美债收益率逼近5.24%对标普500指数的压制

美股周四强弹，标普涨1.66%、纳指涨2.78%；微软AI驱动云指引超预期，市值单日飙增4500亿美元创纪录。30年美债收益率逼近5.24%重估资本成本，降息预期更趋复杂。

31

Jul 2026

挪威6月信贷增速放缓至4.4%，强化市场对挪威央行降息的预期

挪威C2信贷指标6月降至4.4%（前值4.5%），确认信贷增速边际放缓。紧缩效应显现，降息预期升温；利率互换、FRA与NOK对冲及期权策略或受益。

31

Jul 2026

在美联储决心遭质疑之际，卢比升至两周高位；油价风险及印度央行决议前景限制涨幅

印度卢比延续升势，美元走软令USD/INR跌破95.30创逾两周新低。油价与中东风险成掣肘，RBI或按兵不动。策略：做空期货，目标94.80，止损95.81。

31

Jul 2026

亚洲股市追随华尔街科技股反弹走势，韩国股市大涨，日本央行维持政策不变，中国PMI回落

半导体反弹叠加美股财报利好推升亚洲风险偏好：韩股暴涨，主权财富基金预期压缩波动；日央行按兵不动但转鹰风险在；中港PMI跌破荣枯线，建议期权对冲。

31

Jul 2026

日本和韩国出手支撑日元和韩元，交易员试探东京维稳决心

日韩被曝罕见协同入市买汇，疑获美方配合，日元自40年低位反弹、韩元大涨。干预风险或推升隐含波动，建议以虚值看跌期权及价差结构对冲。

31

Jul 2026

印度金价回落，交易员关注8月前逢低买入机会因央行需求支撑

印度金价周五回落至每10克125,009.40卢比，折射短线回调机遇。美元、利率预期与央行增持构成支撑，建议期权牛市价差及逢低增持多头。

31

Jul 2026

随着美元反弹及市场对美联储鹰派立场押注升温限制两日反弹，金价企稳于4,100美元下方

金价冲高未果、维持回调，美元在鹰派加息预期支撑下回升；美国GDP与PCE走弱难改高利率压制。地缘冲突推升通胀风险，关注4000支撑与4175阻力。

31

Jul 2026

在日本央行维持利率不变之际，欧元/日元升向185.20附近；欧元区通胀数据成市场焦点

日央行维持1%但现鹰派分歧，推升EUR/JPY至185.20；欧元区HICP或升至2.9%强化政策分化。交易把握：短期期权、做多欧元、牛市价差。

31

Jul 2026

新加坡第二季度失业率维持在2%，进一步巩固劳动力市场偏紧格局并支撑新元前景

新加坡二季度失业率稳守2%触发市场关注：劳动力紧俏或推升薪资与服务通胀黏性，MAS短期宽松概率下降，利好新元与SORA高位策略。

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