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13

Aug 2026

印尼市场上涨，普拉博沃提名德斯特里·达马扬蒂出任央行行长

惊喜提名提振情绪：普拉博沃拟任命Destry掌舵央行，印尼盾稳守18,000、收益率回落；市场押注政策延续与独立性，关注按兵不动并布局互换收固、期权卖涨。

13

Aug 2026

美元通胀降温推动市场押注美联储按兵不动，澳元走弱并静待澳洲联储政策信号

美国CPI降温触发美联储9月定价从“加息60%”转向“按兵不动60%”，AUD/USD回落至0.7061。焦点转向澳洲通胀预期及RBA路径，波动或放大。

13

Aug 2026

新西兰元/美元下挫，卢克森领导力受压打击纽元大选前走势，数据成市场焦点

纽元兑美元三连跌徘徊0.5860：新西兰大选前政局分裂叠加中东风险推升风险溢价。美CPI指引有限，关注RBNZ通胀预期与PMI；0.5856失守或下探0.5842。

13

Aug 2026

美国7月预算赤字达4320亿美元，扩大财政部融资需求并压制长端国债收益率

预算赤字爆雷：美国7月缺口4,320亿美元超预期860亿，融资需求上修，或推升长端收益率与供给压力；美元承压，股债波动加大，黄金对冲价值凸显。

13

Aug 2026

美元/离岸人民币维持区间震荡，交易员权衡6.7300下行空间与6.7580阻力位

USD/CNH低波动区间震荡，短线锁定6.7430-6.7530；1-3周偏向温和下探6.7300。衍生品宜卖跨式/铁秃鹰收权利金，警惕6.7580上破及EMA6.8430。

13

Aug 2026

CPI公布后美元稳守100关口上方，交易员关注PPI、英国GDP及中东风险

CPI符合预期助美元指数站上100，重磅数据在即或引波动：关注美国PPI、英国GDP；中东风险推升金油，期权对冲与战术布局窗口开启。

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