Live Updates

4

Aug 2026

美元/日元小幅走高，日元回落；市场聚焦JOLTS职位空缺与非农就业数据，空头格局仍存

美元/日元反弹至157.60，日元干预后回吐；美元指数稳守100。市场押注JOLTS与非农定方向。技术面偏空但超卖，160阻力、155颈线，突破162或上看164。

4

Aug 2026

在美国经济数据强劲及避险需求升温推动美元走强之际，纽元/美元回落至0.5870附近

突发风险升温：强劲美国ISM制造业PMI叠加避险美元走强，NZD/USD回落至0.5870；聚焦新西兰就业与RBNZ加息预期，波动或放大。

4

Aug 2026

在中东紧张局势维持风险溢价、OPEC+供应计划仍在的背景下，WTI小幅走高

WTI反弹至79.40美元但动能不足；中东冲突与霍尔木兹风险推升地缘溢价，叠加OPEC+9月增产压力。策略：区间交易、价差/跨式，把握波动率。

4

Aug 2026

欧元/美元回落至1.1500附近，霍尔木兹紧张局势与美国非农就业数据临近，期权市场关注突破走势

欧元/美元跌至1.1500附近，受中东风险推升美元。市场聚焦非农与美联储框架调整。建议非农前做多短期限跨式，油价期权对冲，警惕CTA跌破1.1480触发抛压。

4

Aug 2026

贝莱德推出代币化货币市场基金，为衍生品市场提供可生息抵押品

贝莱德推出BSTBL与BRSRV两只代币化货币市场基金，融合受监管流动性与区块链：可作稳定币储备与衍生品抵押品，提升生息保证金效率，或重塑利差与融资走势。

4

Aug 2026

爱尔兰AIB制造业PMI 7月升至55.1，支撑欧元及利率前景

爱尔兰AIB制造业PMI7月升至55.1，连续处扩张区间，工业韧性凸显。或支撑欧元并强化欧央行高利率预期，关注做多EUR/USD及利率、权益衍生品机会。

4

Aug 2026

伊朗警告勿开辟第二条霍尔木兹海峡通道，油市严阵以待波动加剧

伊朗警告将打击霍尔木兹“第二通道”军事力量，地缘风险抬升或致原油供应扰动与隐波上行；建议期权布局原油上行/跨式及黄金、美元避险，并用标普看跌对冲。

4

Aug 2026

韩国7月CPI同比下降0.2%，强化降息预期并影响韩元、债券及股票交易

韩国7月CPI环比意外降0.2%，较预期低0.3个百分点，通胀动能转弱；BOK降息预期升温，利多KTB、利空韩元，关注美元/韩元与KOSPI200看涨期权机会。

4

Aug 2026

韩国7月CPI同比上涨2.8%，低于3%的预期值

韩国7月CPI同比2.8%不及市场预期3%，通胀压力边际缓和；数据偏软强化通胀回落至夏末判断，或影响货币政策预期与风险资产定价。

4

Aug 2026

在干预传闻及美国数据提振美元的背景下，美元/瑞郎反弹至0.8100

美元/瑞郎受美日疑似干预、美国数据超预期及美伊停火提振，反弹守稳50日均线并改善RSI；上破0.8150看0.8207，跌破0.8100警惕下探100/200日均线。

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