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Live Updates

5

Aug 2026

渣打称：印度货币政策委员会维持回购利率在5.25%不变，偏鸽立场释放长期暂停信号

印度MPC一致维持回购利率5.25%并守“中性”，措辞转鸽：下调FY27通胀、上调增长。卢比或低波动横盘；策略看空波动卖短期期权，利率宜收固定，企业用远期与领式套保。

5

Aug 2026

葡萄牙失业率降至5.3%，提振欧元走强并收窄债券利差

葡萄牙二季度失业率降至5.3%，环比回落0.8个百分点，劳动力市场趋紧。或削弱市场对ECB激进降息预期，支撑欧元走强、利差收敛及PSI上行。

5

Aug 2026

丹麦国家银行暂缓买入丹麦克朗，利差持续下欧元兑丹麦克朗维持锚定水平

丹麦央行7月暂停干预联系汇率，6月仅回购7亿克朗；EUR/DKK或由资金流主导、利差-0.40延续。交易员押低波动，企业趁弱锁远期。

5

Aug 2026

英镑兑美元走高，美元走软、油价下跌，交易员静待美国非农就业数据

英镑兑美元连涨至1.3450，受美元走弱、油价回落与美联储加息预期降温提振；关注NFP与中东局势。守住1.3379偏多，期权策略瞄准1.3500。

5

Aug 2026

英国7月综合PMI小幅走高，显示私营部门持续扩张

英国7月标普全球综合PMI升至52.2，高于预期52.1，连续站上50荣枯线，显示制造业与服务业产出扩张；为三季度初私人部门动能提供及时快照。

5

Aug 2026

英国服务业PMI超预期，支撑英镑并强化市场对英国央行利率“更高、更久”预期

英国7月标普全球服务业PMI升至52.1超预期，服务业续处扩张区间；经济韧性或支撑英镑、推升利率定价与国债收益率，利多FTSE250期权相对。

5

Aug 2026

全球股市在油价下跌、通胀压力缓解及人工智能支出信心重燃推动下创历史新高

油价回落与通胀预期降温推动全球股市创新高，半导体强势领涨、AI资本开支信心修复；VIX低位建议布局股指看涨及价差策略，并以能源看跌对冲尾部风险。

5

Aug 2026

风险偏好回升推动美股走高，霍尔木兹海峡局势缓和预期致油价下跌；市场焦点转向美国就业数据与ISM指数

中东局势缓和预期推动风险偏好回升，原油回吐地缘溢价、黄金强势上攻，美股创新高美元走弱。关注美就业与ISM；期权布局原油看跌、黄金牛差、股指防护性Put及NZD/USD看跌。

5

Aug 2026

在美伊协议希望升温打压油价之际，风险偏好回升推动全球股市走强，并令加密货币承压

贝森特暗示美伊接近协议，风险偏好升温：原油回落、全球股市续创新高，美元走弱日元承压；贵金属走强、加密滞后震荡，警惕美非农与干预风险。

5

Aug 2026

印度卢比涨幅收窄：印度央行维持利率不变，油价下挫，美元兑印度卢比自月内低位反弹

RBI按兵不动致卢比回吐，USD/INR低位反弹仍偏空；油价下挫与霍尔木兹预期施压通胀；聚焦美国ADP或改写美联储定价，警惕94.80支撑。

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