Live Updates

7

Aug 2026

美国、加拿大就业数据料将推动外汇市场波动加剧，因市场对美联储与加拿大央行政策路径的定价分歧加大

美加就业数据同公布叠加7月FOMC指引偏模糊，外汇或现放大波动：关注EUR/USD区间与USD/JPY敏感度；加国、捷克、匈牙利利率定价同步重估。

7

Aug 2026

市场严阵以待美国非农就业数据考验，因美联储9月加息概率回落且欧元兑美元关键价位临近

周五非农料回升至8万、失业率4.2%；若低于4万或压美元推升欧元。9月加息概率降至55%，期权与技术位1.1570成交易焦点。

7

Aug 2026

随着美国非农就业数据临近且美联储加息信号支撑美元，英镑兑美元维持区间震荡

英镑兑美元温和反弹仍陷1.3400-1.3500区间；沃什释放9月加息信号推升美元偏多。警惕非农（预期8万）触发波动，关注1.3410支撑与1.3555阻力，期权跨式/看跌策略更占优。

7

Aug 2026

捷克国家银行在克朗走软、欧元兑捷克克朗汇率企稳之际维持利率于3.75%不变

捷克央行按兵不动释放观望信号：政策利率维持3.75%但仍偏通胀；核心通胀与工资上行风险未消，克朗或低波动横盘，期权宜区间卖波动。

7

Aug 2026

英镑/日元维持在213附近，英银—日银利差及日本财政担忧令日元承压

英镑/日元213附近震荡，三日反弹后受美元走强压制；日本财政扩张与消费疲弱削弱加息预期，275bp利差支撑套息。衍生品可布局看涨及牛市价差。

7

Aug 2026

瑞士国家银行7月外汇储备增至7680亿瑞郎，暗示干预瑞郎汇率

瑞士外汇储备7月升至7,680亿瑞郎，环比增90亿，暗示SNB扩表干预、抑制瑞郎升值；关注EUR/CHF看涨期权与低波动策略，兼顾SARON短端多头。

7

Aug 2026

黄金在突破后企稳，油价与美债收益率反弹，美国非农就业数据成下一个考验

金价突破阻力后守住涨幅，受油价、收益率与美元波动及央行、ETF买盘驱动。今晚非农成分水岭：弱则上看4333/4389，强或回调至4180/4082。

7

Aug 2026

劳埃德银行英国房价指数7月停滞，强化降息预期并拖累英镑

劳埃德7月房价指数环比零增长，低于预期，凸显楼市动能转弱；或强化英央行宽松预期，推升SONIA期货，并对英镑及房企衍生品构成压力。

7

Aug 2026

卢比走软，投资者静待美国非农就业数据；油价反弹与美元/印度卢比95.57关键水平成关注焦点

卢比小幅走弱，USD/INR徘徊95.27，聚焦美国非农与薪资；加息预期54.5%放大波动。油价反弹增进口压力，关注95.57阻力与94.83支撑，期权策略待发。

7

Aug 2026

阿联酋黄金价格小幅走高，本地金价随全球金价与美元走势联动

阿联酋金价小幅走高至503.81迪拉姆/克，折算自国际金价。央行持续增持叠加美元走弱预期，提振避险需求；建议期权做多，关注5,000迪拉姆支撑。

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