Live Updates

7

Aug 2026

受通胀与卢比走弱影响，巴基斯坦金价小幅上扬，克价突破38,159巴基斯坦卢比

巴基斯坦金价周五续涨，克价报38,159卢比、托拉价45.51万卢比；折算受USD/PKR与通胀驱动。央行购金与降息预期托底，多头机会与止损并行。

7

Aug 2026

中国7月贸易顺差超预期，提振人民币及出口相关股票

中国7月贸易顺差7670亿元，较预期高270亿元，净外部头寸超预期走强；或支撑CNY、压低USD/CNY，提振出口链股指与期权，收敛汇率隐波。

7

Aug 2026

在中东风险与美联储加息预期抑制上行、非农就业数据公布前，金价持稳于4,250美元上方

金价亚洲反弹站上4250美元，创单周强势；但美伊谈判反复、非农前谨慎及加息预期80%推升美元。关注4300阻力、4165支撑，区间策略宜谨慎。

7

Aug 2026

星展银行指出美元/离岸人民币走势偏弱，关注6.7420支撑位，重点留意下探6.7300

UOB称USD/CNH短线偏弱，或试探6.7420支撑但跌破续跌概率低；1–3周料受制6.7640并缓步向6.7300，衍生品可卖近月看跌、买平值看跌，三个月需破6.8430方确认修复。

7

Aug 2026

日本家庭支出6月下滑，加剧市场对日本央行利率正常化进程的疑虑

日本6月家庭支出同比骤降3.3%，较预期低4.3个百分点，凸显内需低迷；或迫使日本央行放缓利率正常化，利空日元、利多出口股与JGB多头。

7

Aug 2026

纽元/美元走低：美元走强及中国贸易前景转弱令纽元承压

美元指数走强叠加中国贸易数据走弱预期，NZD/USD承压至0.5870附近；市场聚焦中国进出口及美国非农与薪资，技术面0.5835成关键支撑，建议配置近月看跌期权对冲。

7

Aug 2026

巴西7月贸易顺差不及预期，加大对雷亚尔及利率前景的压力

巴西7月贸易顺差70.67亿美元显著低于预期84亿，美元净流入放缓。雷亚尔或承压走弱，关注USD/BRL看涨期权、DI利率期货及EWZ看跌期权对冲。

7

Aug 2026

墨西哥央行维持基准利率在6.50%，通胀风险犹存，墨西哥比索收益率支撑仍为市场关注焦点

墨西哥央行连续三次维持基准利率6.50%，强调通胀风险偏上行且或长期按兵不动；实际利率具吸引力，利差或促套息推升比索，策略用USD/MXN看跌、铁鹰，长端看跌对冲增长风险。

7

Aug 2026

泰国维持2026年通胀预测不变；油价、泰铢与厄尔尼诺风险影响前景及对冲策略

泰商务部维持2026年通胀1.5%–2.5%预测，隐含一季度负值后二季度跳升；油价、汇率与厄尔尼诺成关键风险。交易端建议布局泰铢期权、原油及利率互换对冲。

7

Aug 2026

由于伊朗收紧霍尔木兹海峡通行限制，风险溢价再度升温，WTI油价攀升至76.50美元附近

WTI反弹至76.50美元，伊朗—阿曼通行框架细节偏紧：拟禁“敌对”船只过霍尔木兹并罚至货值20%，战前流量难复，风险溢价重定价。

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