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Live Updates

14

Aug 2026

外资因日元波动加剧趋于谨慎，转为日本股票净卖出者

警惕外资风向突变：截至8月7日，海外资金对日股由净买入3925亿日元转为净卖出3685亿日元，风险偏好降温，或触发3%-5%回撤压力。

14

Aug 2026

日本海外债券购买激增至1.63万亿日元，加剧日元外流压力

重磅信号：日本截至8月7日当周净对外债券投资飙升至1,629.4亿日元，资金外流或压制日元，利好USD/JPY期权及美债期货看涨策略。

14

Aug 2026

疲软美国经济数据拖累美元跌破100关口，投资者静待欧元区GDP及零售销售数据

美元受疲弱PPI与初请上升拖累，DXY失守100；黄金回撤至4350、WTI趋近81。策略：买入DXY与WTI看跌期权，黄金及欧元/美元看涨布局，关注欧区GDP与美零售。

14

Aug 2026

由于墨西哥湾沿岸库存增加掩盖成品油市场偏紧，WTI跌破50日均线

WTI跌破50日均线后回升至80美元上方；美原油库存激增1740万桶但系墨西哥湾物流瓶颈，成品油持续偏紧。IEA/OPEC下调2026需求，霍尔木兹通行骤降，波动或放大。

14

Aug 2026

阿根廷7月CPI回升对“爬行盯住”汇率机制构成挑战，推动比索无本金交割合约（NDF）需求及对冲交易活跃度上升

阿根廷7月CPI环比升至2.1%超预期，通胀黏性再现并跑赢2%爬行盯住；关注NDF需求、比索期权波动率与CDS利差走阔风险。

14

Aug 2026

美元/瑞郎在RSI趋于平缓之际测试0.8145附近熊旗上沿，回调风险上升

USD/CHF徘徊0.8134测试看跌旗形上沿。美PPI走软难改动能趋平，RSI警示回撤风险；上破0.8145看0.8200/0.8215，失守0.8094或下探0.8076，跌破0.8000多头失效。

14

Aug 2026

澳元/美元守稳200日均线，交易员聚焦0.7100突破，澳洲联储释放政策信号

关键看0.7100突破！AUD/USD受200日均线支撑、0.7000—0.7100震荡；澳洲数据韧性、RBA偏鹰与空头回补或推升至0.7200，跌破0.6934则转弱。

14

Aug 2026

美国30年期国债拍卖收益率升至5.216%，长端融资成本进一步上行

美30年期国债拍卖最高中标收益率升至5.216%，创2007年来新高，长端融资成本抬升；期限溢价走阔或压制科技估值，利率对冲与波动交易机会凸显。

13

Aug 2026

道指下跌，思科股价大跌拖累价格加权指数，标普500指数再创历史新高

道指53,700点窄幅走弱，主因思科财报暴跌致价格加权拖累约65点；标普、纳指续创新高。利率再定价趋二元，PPI降温、油价回落，关注零售销售与信心数据驱动期权波动。

13

Aug 2026

由于新西兰通胀预期降温且美国PPI走软，纽元/美元小幅下跌，市场波动性仍受关注

纽元/美元徘徊0.5850：新西兰通胀预期下行削弱RBNZ加息定价；美国PPI回落压制美元。技术受制均线，关注0.5821破位，期权与互换对冲布局。

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