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Live Updates

17

Aug 2026

英镑兑美元延续涨势，因市场对美联储加息押注降温，关注1.3600阻力位

英镑/美元受美联储加息预期降温与DXY走弱提振，站稳多条均线上方，RSI、MACD、ADX共振偏多。关注1.3600/1.3700突破，衍生品宜逢低做多并严控1.3495止损。

17

Aug 2026

星展银行认为，随着美元兑日元逼近160，日元干预风险或再度升温，华盛顿提供政治背书

星展称市场低估美元外溢影响；华府“政治掩护”叠加扩容FIMA回购便利，赋能东京在USD/JPY逼近160时随时干预，期权端应防突发下挫与波动率飙升。

17

Aug 2026

随着美元在押注美联储暂停加息下走软，黄金守住涨幅；交易员关注4,506美元阻力位

金价上探4,416美元后回落，受美联储9月按兵不动概率升至70%与美元走弱驱动；收益率曲线趋陡叠加美伊风险，建议衍生品审慎偏多、逢回调布局。

17

Aug 2026

在霍尔木兹风险、战略石油储备（SPR）持续释放及期货曲线呈现反向市场的共同作用下，WTI油价升破82美元，油市供需趋紧

WTI攀升至82美元附近，霍尔木兹运输受扰与地缘冲突加剧供给风险，SPR跌破3亿桶令缓冲趋紧；曲线深度现货升水，关注API库存，偏多与跨期正展期策略。

17

Aug 2026

瑞典央行料将维持利率于1.75%不变，通胀低于目标令瑞典克朗持续承压

瑞典央行料第七次按兵不动、通胀超预期仍低于目标，鹰派空间有限压制克朗；掉期计入12月加息25bp或偏乐观，建议做空SEK、买入EUR/SEK看涨期权。

17

Aug 2026

加拿大CPI预计降至2%以下，美国关税威胁令加元承压，核心通胀仍低于2%

加拿大7月CPI料核心通胀续低于2%，BoC加息预期或下修。叠加美国拟对约200亿美元加商品征50%关税，CAD面临突发抛压，建议做多USD/CAD期权。

17

Aug 2026

受中东风险影响布伦特油价在90美元附近企稳，供应趋紧推动铜价创历史新高

中东地缘风险推升油价但受美国产量上行制约；铜创历史新高叠加深度升水与去库；谷物供给改善压制小麦——把握期权与跨期价差机会。

17

Aug 2026

澳大利亚薪资与就业数据料将令市场对澳洲联储利率预期保持稳定，并支撑澳元

澳洲将公布WPI与就业数据，预期对RBA利率路径影响有限；市场仍计入年内再加息25bp概率约60%。澳元获套息与能源、AI及军工链支撑。

17

Aug 2026

加元静待加拿大CPI数据及美国《第338条》关税期限临近，波动风险加剧

加元短期紧盯加拿大7月CPI与美国《第338条》关税截止期：通胀或升至2.9%、核心稳；谈判若破裂或触发50%关税，加元与USD/CAD波动率或急升。

17

Aug 2026

7月中国房价指数跌幅收窄，楼市下行现初步企稳迹象

中国7月房价指数同比降幅收窄至-3.2%（前值-3.3%），仅示下行斜率放缓。政策托底难言复苏，关注波动率策略、金属保护性看跌及股指卖方期权与CNH风险对冲。

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