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Live Updates

19

Aug 2026

印尼央行维持利率在5.75%不变，印尼盾汇率稳定主导政策取向，星展银行预计后续仍有加息空间

印尼央行8月维持BI利率5.75%，在外部不确定性下以印尼盾与宏观金融稳定为先；设定2026-2027通胀目标2.5%±1%。UOB料2026年末两次加息至6.25%。

19

Aug 2026

美国财政部将把长期国债回购操作规模翻倍至每次40亿美元，以增强市场流动性

美财政部将长期国债流动性回购单次规模由20亿美元倍增至至少40亿美元，覆盖10-20年及20-30年期，9月9日至11月4日实施，旨在收敛长端波动且不扩张债务总量。

19

Aug 2026

英国CPI公布后欧元兑英镑维持平稳，低波动市场中套息需求支撑英镑

英国7月CPI落地，服务通胀升至3.8%但已被计价，EUR/GBP守0.8550。低隐波支撑英镑套息，建议卖虚值期权、区间结构收割波动率与利差。

19

Aug 2026

美元走软与美债回购压低长期收益率，金价在FOMC会议纪要公布前走高

美元走弱与长端美债收益率回落推动金价反弹至4,458美元、日涨逾2.5%。聚焦FOMC纪要或放大波动，期权建议顺势做多、跨式捕捉波动并卖出看跌增强收益。

19

Aug 2026

霍尔木兹海峡关闭推升油价大涨，美元与黄金下跌；交易员静待美联储会议纪要

联动失真引爆波动：美元回落至99.300、金价却跌至4415.70；原油因霍尔木兹封锁升至84.90。关注库存与FOMC纪要，2年期美债对冲股指机会凸显。

19

Aug 2026

欧元区通胀低于预期，强化市场对欧洲央行加速降息的押注并引发市场走势变化

欧元区7月HICP环比仅增0.2%，显著低于预期，通胀“冷读数”或迫使ECB加速宽松：关注Euribor/德债多头、欧元承压及欧股受益交易机会。

19

Aug 2026

欧元区7月通胀率持稳于2.9%，抑制市场对欧洲央行降息的预期

欧元区7月HICP同比2.9%符合预期，去通胀延续但黏性仍强，ECB短期或维持谨慎。固收料区间盘整，偏好期权收权利金；EUR/USD获支撑震荡。

19

Aug 2026

英国房价涨幅降温至2%，借贷成本上升推升降息预期

英国DCLG房价指数6月同比升幅回落至2%，动能显著放缓；高利率降温楼市或倒逼英银转鸽，SONIA期货与英镑、房企衍生品迎交易窗口。

19

Aug 2026

瑞郎走强，美元在7月美联储会议纪要公布前走软，美元/瑞郎测试0.8100支撑位

美元走软叠加避险情绪推升瑞郎，USD/CHF回落至0.8100并关注0.8040支撑。7月FOMC纪要或引爆波动；建议跨式捕捉波动扩张，区间期权如铁鹰应对。

19

Aug 2026

南非7月CPI升至4.3%强化降息预期，提升债券吸引力并重塑兰特对冲策略

南非7月CPI同比4.3%低于预期，通胀动能降温并低于4.5%目标中枢，降息预期升温；FRA/互换收取固定、国债偏多，警惕兰特承压，股市或受益。

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