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by VT Markets
Aug 26, 2026
日元周三走强，推动美元/日元下跌0.1%，至159.00附近；市场倾向于认为日本央行将在9月议息会议上加息25个基点，将政策利率上调至1.25%。路透于8月17日至24日进行的一项调查显示，57%的经济学家预计将采取上述行动，而7月调查中该比例仅为5%。市场关注点已转向日本央行在9月18日决议之后将如何表述未来政策路径。
在12:30 GMT公布美国7月个人消费支出（PCE）价格指数之前，美元走软。基于近期CPI与PPI数据表现，富国银行预计PCE平减指数环比上升0.1%，推动同比增速升至3.6%；并预计核心PCE通胀环比上升0.2%，同比增速为3.3%。从技术面看，美元/日元报159.08，受制于20日指数移动平均线（EMA）159.46下方；相对强弱指数（RSI）约为44，显示动能略偏负面。
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