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22

Aug 2026

德意志银行认为：支出提振增速，英国经济增长上行风险加大，支撑英镑走强与国债收益率上行

德银称英国2026年抗能源冲击，Q1/Q2环比+0.6%/+0.4%领跑G7，年化约2%、GDP预测1.1%存上修；策略：做多英镑、做空Gilt、看涨FTSE250。

21

Aug 2026

贝克休斯美国钻机数量降至预期以下，强化供应收紧预期并推升原油价格押注

贝克休斯美油钻机降至452座不及预期，释放上游景气降温与供应趋紧信号；机构提示WTI近月及看涨期权偏多布局，关注反向市场结构加深与OPEC+变量。

21

Aug 2026

美国数据、杰克逊霍尔会议及非农就业数据小幅修正定调市场；加拿大GDP与澳大利亚CPI成关注焦点

下周聚焦美国个人收支与PCE降温，杰克逊霍尔释长期框架信号；非农修正温和支撑风险偏好。澳CPI回升、加GDP强劲，关注曲线平坦化、股指及加元澳元期权机会。

21

Aug 2026

原油反弹目标指向95–100美元区间，加元走强令美元兑加元（USDCAD）承压

原油74.50美元完成ABC回调后进入修复性反弹，上看95-100美元区间。油价走强叠加美元走弱，支撑加元；USDCAD维持偏空，反弹至1.3840-1.3911逢高做空，1.4000止损。

21

Aug 2026

道明证券预计加拿大央行将维持利率不变直至2027年，市场静待11月贸易数据发布

即便关税协议落地，TD Securities 指加拿大央行仍将“按兵不动”至2026年、2027年初才首度加息；11月贸易硬数据成关键催化，建议布局短端CORRA与加美利差、偏空加元。

21

Aug 2026

在美国财政部回购操作拖累美元、PMI数据与杰克逊霍尔年会前夕，欧元兑美元升至三个月高位

美国财长拟将单次债券回购上限翻倍至40亿美元，压制美元推升欧元/美元突破1.1700创三个月高；关注PCE、GDP、杰克逊霍尔及NFP基准修订、期权对冲。

21

Aug 2026

欧元区PMI保持稳定，制造业走强，法国与德国服务业跌破50荣枯线

欧元区8月综合PMI微升至52.1，制造业创四年高位、服务业转弱，法德分化加剧。交易上可多DAX空CAC，并于欧元横盘期运用铁鹰获取权利金收益。

21

Aug 2026

欧元兑英镑走低，欧元区与英国PMI初值相互抵消，地缘政治缓和限制波动

欧英8月PMI初值双双超预期相互对冲，EUR/GBP回落至0.856附近维持区间震荡；地缘风险降温压制波动率，技术面动能中性，关注0.8559/0.8576。

21

Aug 2026

道明证券认为，沃什在杰克逊霍尔的讲话将推动美元波动加剧，而非引发明确的方向性走势

TD Securities 称 Warsh 杰克逊霍尔或谈生产率、AI 与美联储框架改革，利率预期锚定；美元更受波动率与通胀信誉重定价驱动，风险偏下行，宜用跨式/宽跨式及远期看跌对冲。

21

Aug 2026

在美国财政部回购操作抑制美债收益率并削弱美元的背景下，黄金突破4600美元关口，触及三个月高位

黄金受美元走软及美债回购扩容提振，XAU/USD突破4,500并站上4,600创12周新高；本周聚焦GDP、核心PCE与官员表态，期权偏多并警惕回撤风险。

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