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26

Aug 2026

印度卢比关注更强劲的重启走势，因油价回落、收益率下行且杰克逊霍尔年会临近

节后印度卢比料强势重启：油价回落及霍尔木兹通航预期缓解进口成本，USD/INR或下探95.40；杰克逊霍尔讲话前宜对冲波动并布局空头。

26

Aug 2026

受霍尔木兹航道谈判及美国原油库存增加拖累，WTI原油跌势延续并跌破80美元

WTI跌破80美元至79.50，伊朗与阿曼磋商霍尔木兹通道令风险溢价回落；EIA或连续第四周累库强化供给过剩预期，策略偏空：期权做空、跨期价差博弈75支撑。

26

Aug 2026

市场静待英伟达财报出炉：季度营收或达1000亿美元，AI基础设施融资持续升温

英伟达财报夜临近：营收或冲刺千亿美元，期权隐波预示8%—10%剧震。更大看点在资产负债表转向AI基建融资，非流通证券飙至430亿美元，估值敏感度抬升。

26

Aug 2026

贝森特表态后美债收益率下滑：油价走低、美元走软，PCE数据与国债拍卖及沃什讲话前市场趋于谨慎

贝森特干预叠加油价回落推动美债长端收益率下行、波动率收敛并利好风险资产；聚焦PCE、7年期拍卖与沃什讲话，策略建议做空利率波动、配置DXY看跌、欧元与澳元多头及CNH渐进走强。

26

Aug 2026

澳元兑日元走强，7月通胀高于预期提振市场对澳洲联储9月加息押注

澳元兑日元受澳洲7月通胀超预期提振上行，RBA 9月加息定价升至32%；技术面偏强但临近114.66-114.93阻力，期权策略可捕捉动能并对冲BoJ风险。

26

Aug 2026

华尔街股指期货小幅走低，PCE物价指数、英伟达财报及沃什杰克逊霍尔讲话逼近

财报与PCE双重催化来袭：美股期指震荡收敛、科技领涨延续。关注杰克逊霍尔利率指引，建议跨式、铁鹰及板块轮动价差对冲波动与方向风险。

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