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9

Oct 2026

美国-加拿大收益率利差收窄，加元兑美元走低，加拿大就业数据公布前市场谨慎

美加收益率利差收窄推升加元，USD/CAD回落至1.4220；但政策分化与油价走弱或令美元重掌主导。聚焦加拿大就业数据，突破1.4355或上探1.4500。

9

Oct 2026

随着特朗普淡化对伊朗打击风险，市场风险偏好回升；美债收益率回落，原油走低，黄金走强

特朗普称选前不攻伊朗提振风险偏好：美股期货上行、WTI逼近90回落、美元走软。沃勒强调仍需加息但节奏灵活，10年美债收益率回落。黄金冲4200；关注加就业与日元波动。

8

Oct 2026

在市场计入12月加息及收益率上行之际，鹰派美联储会议纪要提振美元维持坚挺

FOMC纪要强化年内再加息预期，叠加美债高收益率与拍卖强需推升美元；建议配置USD看涨期权，对冲高贝塔货币下行并适度卖波动率。

8

Oct 2026

欧洲央行穆兰表示欧元区通胀完全由能源因素驱动，否认存在第二轮效应

穆兰称欧元区通胀“100%”由能源冲击驱动且无二轮效应，地缘风险向金融传导；市场反应有限，ECB或转鸽，欧元偏弱、债券收益率下行交易机会显现。

8

Oct 2026

黄金在美联储鹰派会议纪要公布后受益于美债收益率回落，重返4,100美元上方

美债收益率回落带动金价重返4,100美元，FOMC纪要强化加息预期但分歧显现；关注4,100/4,200关键位，央行购金托底，期权区间策略或占优。

8

Oct 2026

美国国债收益率升至数十年高位，收益率曲线信号引导美元走势，市场聚焦美国通胀数据公布前夕

10年期美债收益率飙至5.31%创24年新高、DXY重返102上方；但美元续强关键仍在2年期再度领跑。10月CPI或重定价加息预期，触发突破或回撤。

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