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26

Aug 2026

华尔街股指期货小幅走低，PCE数据、英伟达财报及沃什在杰克逊霍尔年会的讲话临近

欧美时段美股期指窄幅震荡，市场静待PCE与英伟达财报及杰克逊霍尔讲话；科技领涨后波动或放大。建议跨式、认沽对冲，铁鹰及相对价值价差布局。

26

Aug 2026

受伊朗局势降温消息削弱风险溢价影响，布伦特原油大跌，势将创6月以来最大单周跌幅

伊朗局势缓和与停火预期升温，布伦特回吐13%涨幅逾半、周跌或创6月以来最大；霍尔木兹通道框架提振风险偏好，波动率溢价料回落并利好股债。

26

Aug 2026

日元走强，市场计入日本央行9月加息预期；美国PCE数据公布前美元走弱

日元走强令美元/日元回落至159附近。路透调查显示57%经济学家押注日本央行9月加息25bp至1.25%；美元静待7月PCE通胀指引。

26

Aug 2026

英伟达财报发布在即，市场小幅走高；期权定价显示业绩超预期后市场反应或趋于温和

英伟达财报引发波动率预期升温，但市场对超预期敏感度下降；半导体回撤加剧。建议避贵价裸Call，转向指数期权信用利差/铁鹰，并以保护性Put对冲季节性回调。

26

Aug 2026

澳元因强劲CPI走高，市场上调澳洲联储加息概率；美国PCE数据待公布

澳元受7月CPI超预期提振，AUD/USD升至0.7180；市场上调RBA 9月再加息隐含概率至36%。聚焦美国PCE，若低于预期或助突破0.7201。

26

Aug 2026

亚洲风险情绪走强，澳大利亚通胀回升推升澳洲联储加息概率；关于霍尔木兹海峡谈判的报道令油价回落

亚洲风险偏好回暖但澳洲CPI超预期抬升紧缩定价，ASX落后；油价与美债收益率回落。焦点转向央行决议、PCE、英伟达财报与杰克逊霍尔。

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