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30

Sep 2026

在澳洲联储暗示政策立场转向偏鸽、美国联储释放混合信号之际，澳元跌破0.7000关口

澳元意外失守0.7000：RBA加息至4.60%却释鸽派信号，叠加美债收益率高企、风险偏好降温及美联储分歧，AUD/USD回落；关注澳洲CPI与关键均线阻力。

30

Sep 2026

片山警示日元被低估，日美加强协调；美元兑日元徘徊于157附近

日本财务大臣称日元被低估，将与美方协作维稳汇市。美元/日元157上方承压，干预风险升温；建议逢高做空，目标156.50/156.00，止损158.50。

30

Sep 2026

澳元在澳洲联储加息后走弱；纽元/美元跌破0.5650，市场聚焦新西兰联储进一步收紧政策

RBA加息至4.60%但偏鸽致澳元走弱，NZD/USD失守0.5650。RBNZ加息预期反复，叠加中国放缓与美国数据扰动，建议偏空布局，目标0.5600/0.5550，0.5700止损。

30

Sep 2026

古尔斯比强调通胀持续性与财政赤字刺激，警告炼油产能瓶颈或令价格压力维持高位

通胀超标5年半叠加财政赤字刺激，古尔斯比警示经济过热与政策偏鹰风险；供给冲击难忽视、炼能瓶颈推升核心通胀，利率高位或更久。

30

Sep 2026

穆萨莱姆认为人工智能资本支出推升顽固的需求型通胀，敦促美联储在不作利率承诺的情况下强化政策指引 clarity

AI资本开支繁荣推升需求型通胀黏性，穆萨莱姆称加息后政策仍偏宽松、预期锚定2%；倡强化框架沟通、改进SEP与点阵图，警惕市场误读。

30

Sep 2026

美联储理事巴尔呼吁重新校准政策，市场已计入10月与12月加息预期

巴尔称美联储需“重新校准”，通胀偏离2%且回落趋势不明；GDP与就业稳健支撑偏鹰预期。货币市场押注10月加息66%、12月94%，投资者需强化对冲。

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