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30

Sep 2026

英镑走弱：美国国债收益率走高提振美元，交易员关注英镑兑美元下行期权

英镑兑美元走弱，受美债收益率回升与劳动力市场韧性提振美元；汇价逼近1.3200关键支撑。紧盯美英利差，布局1.3150短期看跌或熊市价差捕捉下行。

29

Sep 2026

美国52周短期国债拍卖收益率升至4.4%，推升一年期融资成本

美国52周国库券中标收益率升至4.4%，较前次上行42个基点，短端利率再定价推升一年期融资成本，预示“高利率更久”，利空成长股并支撑美元走强。

29

Sep 2026

英国央行泰勒呼吁对能源冲击保持审慎有序立场，警示通胀风险及第二轮效应

英银委员泰勒强调能源冲击多属相对价格，政策不宜机械反应；基准利率3.75%倾向长期暂停。关键看工资与服务业PMI二轮效应；可趁低波卖短端期权，捕捉英债错定价。

29

Sep 2026

加拿大GDP七月停滞，八月料将回升，削弱市场对加拿大央行大幅降息的押注

加拿大7月GDP环比持平、8月料增0.2%，三季度按年率约2%。经济韧性削弱激进降息预期，OIS或重定价；谨防油价冲击推升通胀与加元波动。

29

Sep 2026

加拿大7月GDP持平引发收益率曲线前端抛售，市场对加拿大央行政策定价维持不变

加拿大7月GDP环比零增长引发国债再抛售，前中端收益率上行但BoC定价不变；建议做1y5y-1y2y陡峭化、谨慎加码2年期多头，关注美债联动拐点。

29

Sep 2026

渣打银行预计印度央行将在10月和12月加息，通胀逼近6%上限

渣打料印度MPC10月、12月各加息25bp至5.75%，通胀或12月重返6%上方；若更具粘性或再加25–50bp，建议做空国债期货、付1Y OIS并配置曲线平坦化与虚值看跌期权。

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