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30

Sep 2026

澳大利亚8月CPI同比升至4.0%，数据公布后澳元走软

澳8月CPI同比升至4.0%且符合预期，核心修剪均值同比3.6%；通胀再抬头信号强化政策利率敏感度，数据出炉后澳元走弱，AUD/USD跌0.25%。

30

Sep 2026

中国制造业PMI持稳于50.1，显示经济趋稳且衍生品交易波动加剧

中国9月NBS制造业PMI报50.1贴近荣枯线，释放边际企稳信号但动能有限；外汇与商品衍生品宜以AUD/CNH及铜矿波动率策略短线布局审慎控仓。

30

Sep 2026

中国服务业PMI重返扩张区间，提振风险偏好与中国相关资产

9月非制造业PMI升至50.2，显著超预期并重返扩张区间，内需韧性提振风险偏好；关注澳元看涨期权、铜油多头及中概期权隐波下行机会。

30

Sep 2026

日本8月工业产出下滑4.8%，不及预期，制造业前景蒙阴

日本8月工业生产环比大降4.8%，远逊预期增1.7%，制造业动能骤弱；工厂产出失速冲击需求与订单判断，后续数据能否反弹成市场焦点。

30

Sep 2026

新西兰澳新银行（ANZ）活动前景指数持续低于50，9月市场情绪仍显低迷

新西兰ANZ活动前景指数9月微降至47.9，持续低于50荣枯线；前瞻性景气信号偏弱，短期经济预期仍处收缩区间，需警惕下行风险。

30

Sep 2026

黄金自八周低点反弹，油价驱动的通胀升温强化美联储收紧预期

金价自八周低点反弹至4,180美元，仍受鹰派利率预期压制；油价驱动通胀、长端美债收益率飙升抬高机会成本。聚焦PCE与非农波动，警惕4,165失守。

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