Live Updates

4

Sep 2026

日元上涨拖累美元/日元跌破156，市场提高对日本央行加息的押注，静待美国非农就业数据公布

日元两日强势、美元/日元跌破200日EMA，逼近155关口；在美日利差收窄与日本央行9月加息预期升温下，非农等数据或触发新一轮波动。

4

Sep 2026

墨西哥央行官员希思暗示暂停降息，核心通胀黏性犹存支撑墨西哥比索套息交易

Banxico副行长希思称降息需待核心通胀向3%收敛，或一年后方现宽松；政策“更高更久”维持利差支撑MXN。交易上可布局做多比索、卖波动率。

4

Sep 2026

马来西亚国家银行维持政策利率在2.75%不变，经济增长保持在近5%且通胀受控

马来西亚国行按兵不动维持OPR 2.75%，称匹配价稳与可持续增长；经济与通胀韧性支撑林吉特资产。关注IRS曲线走平、MYR升值期权及商品与波动率对冲。

4

Sep 2026

沃什在杰克逊霍尔发表讲话引发市场重新定价，财政压力限制美联储利率政策选择

Warsh 重申PCE 2%目标与利率主工具，市场却押注9月转向。美债逼近40万亿、利息破万亿成紧箍咒；金银回调提供期权再配置窗口。

4

Sep 2026

新加坡PMI回升推动扩张延续，金管局预测人士上调2026年增长预期并提高政策收紧概率

新加坡PMI续扩张、电子业领跑，MAS上调2026增速并下修通胀预期；10月政策或偏鹰成催化。USD/SGD料1.2650–1.2800震荡，可布局区间策略及SGD看涨/保护性期权。

4

Sep 2026

沃勒释放暂停加息信号、美元走软且地缘政治紧张加剧，金价跃升至4,400美元上方

沃勒偏鸽压制加息预期，叠加中东风险与美元走弱，金价飙升至4,487美元并重返4,400上方；加息概率54%胶着，非农前波动放大，期权跨式备战。

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