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6

Oct 2026

美元需求推动美元/日元升破158关口，日本央行谨慎表态抵消日本干预风险

美元兑日元稳站158上方，美元指数与美债收益率支撑避险买盘；日银紧缩预期降温压制日元，市场盯防干预与FOMC纪要，158.73或成突破引线。

6

Oct 2026

土耳其通胀率降至30%以下，在里拉支撑掩盖压力之际增强市场对降息的押注

土耳其9月CPI同比降至29.7%创近五年新低，核心通胀同步放缓，宽松预期升温。关注10月或降息100bp，USD/TRY上行风险与衍生品波动机会凸显。

6

Oct 2026

欧元跌向1.1200，德国订单大幅下滑且欧元区债务担忧升温提振美元

欧元受政治不确定性、德工厂订单骤降及法德利差飙升拖累，债务传染忧虑升温，EUR/USD跌向1.1200、下看1.1150；美债收益率高企支撑美元，策略偏空欧元、做多美元。

6

Oct 2026

印度卢比走软，受美国国债收益率飙升及资金外流推升，美元兑印度卢比（USD/INR）在印度央行（RBI）决议前上行

美债收益率冲高触发避险与资金外流，卢比承压推升USD/INR至96.43两月高位。关注RBI政策与鹰派预期，技术偏多但RSI临近超买，宜回调布局期权。

6

Oct 2026

WTI徘徊于四周低点附近，地缘溢价遭遇关键均线下方动能减弱

WTI徘徊89美元，地缘风险溢价支撑但供给缓解压制。技术面承压200周期SMA，MACD偏弱、RSI中性，警惕盘整假突破：阻力90.60/93.62，支撑88.52/84.40/80.29。

6

Oct 2026

在美元走强和美债收益率高企、FOMC会议纪要公布前承压之际，金价守住4,100美元上方

黄金触及两个月低点后回稳守住4100美元口：美元与美债收益率高企压制，年内再加息概率仍超85%。警惕跌破4098美元或下探3936，FOMC纪要成关键催化。

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