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17

Aug 2026

加拿大CPI预计降至2%以下，美国关税威胁令加元承压，核心通胀仍低于2%

加拿大7月CPI料核心通胀续低于2%，BoC加息预期或下修。叠加美国拟对约200亿美元加商品征50%关税，CAD面临突发抛压，建议做多USD/CAD期权。

17

Aug 2026

受中东风险影响布伦特油价在90美元附近企稳，供应趋紧推动铜价创历史新高

中东地缘风险推升油价但受美国产量上行制约；铜创历史新高叠加深度升水与去库；谷物供给改善压制小麦——把握期权与跨期价差机会。

17

Aug 2026

澳大利亚薪资与就业数据料将令市场对澳洲联储利率预期保持稳定，并支撑澳元

澳洲将公布WPI与就业数据，预期对RBA利率路径影响有限；市场仍计入年内再加息25bp概率约60%。澳元获套息与能源、AI及军工链支撑。

17

Aug 2026

加元静待加拿大CPI数据及美国《第338条》关税期限临近，波动风险加剧

加元短期紧盯加拿大7月CPI与美国《第338条》关税截止期：通胀或升至2.9%、核心稳；谈判若破裂或触发50%关税，加元与USD/CAD波动率或急升。

17

Aug 2026

7月中国房价指数跌幅收窄，楼市下行现初步企稳迹象

中国7月房价指数同比降幅收窄至-3.2%（前值-3.3%），仅示下行斜率放缓。政策托底难言复苏，关注波动率策略、金属保护性看跌及股指卖方期权与CNH风险对冲。

17

Aug 2026

在美国经济数据疲软及中东风险推升避险需求之际，黄金价格企稳于4,400美元附近

金价逼近4,400美元延续反弹；美国零售与信心走弱压降加息预期、削弱美元。叠加中东风险推升避险需求，技术突破转支撑，策略逢回调做多并设4,350止损。

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