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17

Aug 2026

加拿大7月核心CPI环比持平于0.2%，强化市场对加拿大央行降息的押注

加拿大7月核心CPI环比持平0.2%，通胀动能趋稳，强化央行降息预期。OIS隐含降息概率超70%；短端做多、曲线陡峭化，加元偏弱宜配置看跌期权。

17

Aug 2026

英镑兑美元延续涨势，因市场对美联储加息押注降温，关注1.3600阻力位

英镑/美元受美联储加息预期降温与DXY走弱提振，站稳多条均线上方，RSI、MACD、ADX共振偏多。关注1.3600/1.3700突破，衍生品宜逢低做多并严控1.3495止损。

17

Aug 2026

星展银行认为，随着美元兑日元逼近160，日元干预风险或再度升温，华盛顿提供政治背书

星展称市场低估美元外溢影响；华府“政治掩护”叠加扩容FIMA回购便利，赋能东京在USD/JPY逼近160时随时干预，期权端应防突发下挫与波动率飙升。

17

Aug 2026

随着美元在押注美联储暂停加息下走软，黄金守住涨幅；交易员关注4,506美元阻力位

金价上探4,416美元后回落，受美联储9月按兵不动概率升至70%与美元走弱驱动；收益率曲线趋陡叠加美伊风险，建议衍生品审慎偏多、逢回调布局。

17

Aug 2026

在霍尔木兹风险、战略石油储备（SPR）持续释放及期货曲线呈现反向市场的共同作用下，WTI油价升破82美元，油市供需趋紧

WTI攀升至82美元附近，霍尔木兹运输受扰与地缘冲突加剧供给风险，SPR跌破3亿桶令缓冲趋紧；曲线深度现货升水，关注API库存，偏多与跨期正展期策略。

17

Aug 2026

瑞典央行料将维持利率于1.75%不变，通胀低于目标令瑞典克朗持续承压

瑞典央行料第七次按兵不动、通胀超预期仍低于目标，鹰派空间有限压制克朗；掉期计入12月加息25bp或偏乐观，建议做空SEK、买入EUR/SEK看涨期权。

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