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18

Aug 2026

随着油价反弹、长期国债收益率攀升，市场静待德国ZEW景气指数与英国就业数据

中东局势推升布伦特破91美元，叠加美长端收益率逼近5%与中国数据走弱，全球风险偏好承压；关注德ZEW、英就业、美产出，建议曲线陡峭化、原油看涨与防御期权配置。

18

Aug 2026

欧元/日元维持在184.80附近，楔形上升形态预示反转风险，市场聚焦日本央行加息预期

欧元/日元连涨至184.80，上升楔形警示动能衰竭。关键支撑184.03-184.60，失守或指向179.37；上破186.10或测试187.95，宜以看跌期权对冲风险。

18

Aug 2026

在美元走强及油价推升通胀忧虑抑制需求之际，金价跌破4,400美元

金价失守4400美元温和回落，美元反弹叠加油价推升通胀预期、2026年加息定价压制；中东冲突强化风险溢价。关注4450阻力、4302支撑，谨慎运用期权对冲波动。

18

Aug 2026

欧元/美元维持在两个月高位附近，受油价与地缘政治影响，防御性衍生品策略升温

欧元/美元1.1580企稳但受油价与中东风险压制；FOMC纪要与欧央行预期成波动催化。警惕美元快速上冲，宜短期限Put对冲，事件前后可布局跨式。

18

Aug 2026

在美联储加息预期降温提振澳元之际，澳元/美元连涨三日，关键数据公布前走强

AUD/USD 连涨至0.7110，因美联储加息预期降温致美元承压；聚焦澳洲信心与工资数据及RBA再加息概率。技术偏强但RSI近超买，回调做多并用牛市看跌价差控险。

18

Aug 2026

道指跌破53,500点，国债收益率升至19年高位，油价上扬

道指跌约0.5%失守5.35万点，霍尔木兹谈判窗口到期叠加长端美债收益率创19年高位压制风险偏好；油价跳涨、航运低迷加剧避险情绪。

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