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18

Aug 2026

美国30年期国债收益率升至2007年以来新高，债务与油价风险推升长端利率

长端美债收益率再飙，30年期创2007年以来新高；市场重估财政债务与供给压力、通胀黏性及中东油价风险，聚焦美联储纪要引发利率路径再定价。

18

Aug 2026

受美国财政赤字扩大、美元走软及中国增持黄金储备推动，金银价格上涨

美债赤字飙升、美元走弱与加息预期降温叠加央行创纪录购金、中国离岸税收趋严，资金加速涌向硬资产：金破4400、银越66，关注黄金白银及铜多头机会。

18

Aug 2026

美元指数跌破100关口，市场加大押注美联储降息；紧张局势推升油价与金价走高

美元指数跌破100点、两月低位，弱数据强化降息定价；地缘溢价推升WTI与金价。建议增配欧元及原油、黄金看涨期权，关注英就业支撑英镑。

18

Aug 2026

美国6月美国国债净资本流入小幅升至1335亿美元，支撑美元需求

美国6月TIC净流入升至1,335亿美元，超预期，海外增配美债美股强化美元支撑；利率端或承压下行，股指衍生品偏多策略机会凸显。

18

Aug 2026

美国6月长期净资本流入（TIC）高于预期，支撑美元韧性并抑制国债收益率上行

6月美国长期TIC净流入1,727亿美元超预期，凸显海外资金配置美资产趋强，利多美元指数韧性并压制美债收益率，亦为美股短期下行提供资金面缓冲与结构性支撑。

18

Aug 2026

美元/新元走低，1.2765支撑位守住成焦点，1.2830或限制上行空间

USD/SGD反弹难改温和下行格局，短线或再测1.2775，1.2765成破位分水岭；失守或下看1.2740。美联储降息叠加MAS偏紧，期权熊市认沽价差可布局。

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