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18

Aug 2026

因英国就业数据降温，英镑小幅走低，市场焦点转向CPI及美联储会议纪要

英镑受英国劳动力市场降温拖累回落至1.3530，投资者聚焦7月CPI验证降息定价；美元受美联储偏鹰预期支撑，纪要或强化利差优势，外汇期权价差机会浮现。

18

Aug 2026

布伦特原油升破91美元，霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势与沙特改道运输抵消中国需求走弱影响

布伦特油价连涨站上91美元，地缘冲突与霍尔木兹供应风险推升溢价；沙特阿曼外STS分流出口。然中国炼厂开工、表观需求下滑，建议偏多配置并以期权对冲回撤。

18

Aug 2026

三菱日联金融集团警示：在ZEW景气预期指数公布前估值风险上升，欧元兑美元或受200日均线压制

MUFG称欧元/美元受制200日均线1.1630且现价高估2.5%-3%；DXY守99.185压制反转。建议以看跌期权/熊市价差布局回撤，关注ZEW催化与增长、通胀风险。

18

Aug 2026

加元维持疲软，油价震荡及利差因素盖过国内数据改善影响

加元年内疲弱却现经济企稳信号；油价与利差定价仍压制。霍尔木兹通航成关键变量。机构料EUR/CAD升至1.60，USD/CAD回落1.35，建议期权布局对冲。

18

Aug 2026

随着资金流入激增，印度央行拟提前结束FCNR(B)掉期窗口，卢比流动性料将收紧

德国商业银行称RBI将8月31日提前关闭FCNR(B)优惠掉期，因资金强劲流入（已吸引523亿美元）而再校准政策；卢比流动性趋紧、短债收益率上行，USD/INR承压但干预维稳。

18

Aug 2026

英镑兑日元走弱，英国就业增长降温，市场静待通胀数据

英国就业降温致英镑兑日元回落至215.95；失业率4.9%高于预期，薪资韧性有限。周三英国CPI成关键，叠加日本央行9月加息定价80%，看空GBP/JPY与日元期权机会凸显。

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