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9

Jul 2026

印度金价回落，全球金市关注美联储降息预期与央行需求

印度金价周四回落：每克降至12,484卢比。降息预期压低美元、央行持续抢金支撑底部；短线或盘整后再上攻，回调或成布局多头良机。

9

Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎在0.8070附近企稳，美联储内部出现分歧与伊朗局势紧张重塑利率预期

美联储纪要现分歧、加息概率升至逾30%，叠加美伊紧张推避险与油价飙升，USD/CHF 于0.8070胶着。SNB或干预设瑞郎上限，美元或占优，建议买8月0.8200看涨期权。

9

Jul 2026

马来西亚金价走低，美国通胀与央行购金动向左右后市

金价周四小跌：每克MYR532.34。通胀顽固与“更高更久”利率拉扯，央行续买金添支撑、强美元成逆风。波动或放大，期权跨式/价差策略更吃香。

9

Jul 2026

美元/日元自40年高位回落，干预传闻、美联储会议纪要与中东紧张局势施压

USD/JPY回落至162下方，市场传日本或干预引发回补；美元因纪要不够鹰而走软。利差与地缘风险仍撑套息，建议用看跌期权对冲暴跌。

9

Jul 2026

中国6月CPI降温、PPI回升，拖累大宗商品并施压澳元

中国6月CPI同比1.0%低预期、环比跌0.3%，需求偏弱；PPI升至4.1%挤压利润。政策刺激空间扩大。澳元回落，大宗商品承压，布局铜空、原油看跌、AUD看跌与VIX对冲。

9

Jul 2026

中国6月CPI下跌0.3%，加剧通缩担忧并推高市场对北京政策宽松的押注

中国6月CPI环比跌0.3%逊预期，通缩信号加剧需求疲弱。策略：偏空工业商品与澳元、恒指用看跌价差对冲；同时盯PBoC降准降息，利好国债多头布局。

9

Jul 2026

中国PPI降幅维持在4.1%，政策宽松压力缓解，支持区间震荡市场策略

6月中国PPI同比跌4.1%、环比跌0.8%符预期，厂端通缩延续但波动风险降。央行更从容定向支持；关注增长信贷。交易看USD/CNY区间期权与卖短波动。

9

Jul 2026

中国CPI低于预期推升降息预期，削弱人民币前景并带动期权交易

中国6月CPI仅升1%低于预期，需求疲弱信号再现！人行宽松空间增、人民币承压，USD/CNH看涨至7.35；铜看跌、股指布局跨式捕捉波动。

9

Jul 2026

日本M2+CD增速降温，削弱市场对日本央行收紧政策的押注并拖累日圆

日本M2+CD年增降至2.2%释去通胀信号：日央行料继续按兵不动，日元或再走弱；布局多美元/日元，顺势加码日经225与买入JGB期货。

9

Jul 2026

日本股市外资抛售加剧，7月3日前净流出达222亿日元

外资加速撤离日股：截至7月3日当周净流出扩大至¥-222亿，较前周恶化。日经回落、央行正常化预期升温，股汇脱钩警讯浮现；可考虑Put或期货对冲。

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