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Live Updates

20

Jul 2026

金价在4,010美元附近持稳，中东局势头条与美联储鹰派押注引发震荡行情

中东矛盾头条搅动金市，金价围绕4,010美元震荡；美元与油价反复牵制。技术偏弱、关注4,000支撑与4,200阻力，期权宜跨式捕捉波动。

20

Jul 2026

道明证券警告：油价推动的通胀与押注美联储加息或限制金银涨幅

油价因美伊冲突飙升推高通胀，市场押注2026年末加息。TD Securities称美元与收益率走强抬高carry成本，黄金逼近3900支撑、白银更弱，建议减多并用看跌策略。

20

Jul 2026

欧洲央行料维持利率在2.25%，市场计入9月加息预期，欧元区间盘整

欧央行料周四维持利率2.25%，坚持数据依赖；通胀略低、能源反弹偏弱。市场却押注9月再加息至2.75%，但增长疲弱恐修正预期，欧元或低波动区间震荡。

20

Jul 2026

纽元/美元稳守0.5850附近，美国通胀降温打压美元提振纽元

美国通胀转弱拖累美元，NZD/USD 回升至0.5850。市场下调美联储再收紧预期；RBNZ 偏鹰支撑纽元。惟中东风险升温压制风险情绪。

20

Jul 2026

加拿大通胀降温至2.8%，核心通胀跌破目标，强化市场对加拿大央行将维持利率不变直至2026年的预期

加拿大6月CPI降至2.8%，核心通胀跌破2%且压力受控。RBC料央行利率维持至2026年末；低波动下可卖USD/CAD短期期权、做CORRA日历价差并以加元看跌对冲。

20

Jul 2026

英镑/美元跌破1.3450，动能减弱，交易员转向区间震荡策略

英镑兑美元跌破1.3450后回落至1.3427，动能未加速，短线料在1.3420–1.3475、数周守1.3385–1.3495盘整；策略转区间，卖跨式/铁秃鹰，关注1.3210/1.3160支撑。

20

Jul 2026

标普500指数下滑，AI疑虑冲击科技龙头；在关键财报前资金轮动扩大

AI高投入信心动摇！标普500两日回调、科技遭抛售；Kimi K3触发竞争疑虑，半导体跌入熊市。策略：转向等权重ETF价差、龙头保护性认沽，财报前布局波动率与VIX对冲。

20

Jul 2026

道明证券预计美联储将维持利率不变直至2026年，若政策转向更可能是加息

别急着押注降息！TD Securities 料美联储利率按兵不动至2026年：通胀黏性、就业稳，新领导层更难预测；今年若动更偏加息，SOFR与波动策略需转向。

20

Jul 2026

美元/加元小幅走高，因加拿大CPI降温及中东风险推升美元

加拿大通胀意外降温、美元转强，美元/加元升至1.4045。油市受中东封锁传闻剧震。交易员可用短期看涨、牛市价差与跨式期权抢势对冲。

20

Jul 2026

伊朗释放军事回应信号，调停努力持续推进；高波动环境下布伦特油价守在80美元附近

伊朗释军报复信号但外交未断，局势“可控不稳”撑布油80美元。OVX高企宜卖宽跨/铁鹰赚权利金，并持虚值看涨或牛市价差防尾部油价飙升。

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