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31

Jul 2026

葡萄牙7月CPI放缓至3.0%，强化市场押注欧洲央行秋季降息

葡萄牙7月CPI降至3%，通胀降温点燃ECB秋季降息预期。债券收益率或下行，布局Bund/بوبل与Euribor多头；欧元承压，EUR/USD看跌期权更吸引。

31

Jul 2026

日元投资者押注干预推动上扬，疲弱美国数据拖累美元；英镑与欧元走强

疑似日圆干预引爆！美元/日圆跌破158后急震，美元指数创逾一年最大跌幅；美GDP与核心PCE走弱强化降息预期，策略看日圆看跌期权、SOFR与黄金长天期看涨。

31

Jul 2026

日圆在疑似日本财务省入市干预下急升；日本央行按兵不动维持利率，并警示通胀风险

日圆纽约急升跌穿163至158，疑财务省干预！日银8比1维持利率1%，强调汇率推升通胀风险与AI需求；下调2026核心CPI、上调2027，收紧仍按半年节奏。

31

Jul 2026

英伦银行维持基准利率于3.75%，贝利淡化加息可能性；市场重新定价9月加息预期

英伦银行按兵不动、贝利偏鸽，9月加息概率骤降；MPC 6-3分歧但通胀趋缓。交易策略：做多2026年12月SONIA、买两年期Gilt看涨、布局GBP/USD看跌，并以虚值布油看涨防美伊冲突通胀尾部风险。

31

Jul 2026

美元指数形成双顶，欧元/美元与英镑/美元上破走高；黄金三角形整理，币圈处于十字路口

欧元英镑走强、美元指数疑现双顶；日元交叉反弹，USD/CAD试探1.40，瑞郎遇阻。黄金三角收敛或将爆波，加密测试关键支撑，策略聚焦期权与控仓。

31

Jul 2026

科技股领涨美股走强，微软大涨抵消30年期美债收益率逼近5.24%影响，标普500指数上扬

美股强弹科技领涨：微软飙逾15%创史上最大单日增值，AI云业务回报兑现；但30年美债收益率逼近5.24%压顶。联储按兵不动，PCE降温、GDP放缓却内需走强。

31

Jul 2026

挪威6月信贷增长放缓至4.4%，加强市场对挪威央行降息预期

挪威6月信贷C2降至4.4%，显示紧缩正压制借贷。市场或提前押注晚些时候降息：利率端看收益率下行，NOK或走弱，股指期权宜转防御。

31

Jul 2026

卢比升至两周高位，市场质疑美联储决心；油价风险限制涨幅，印度央行决议前走势受抑

卢比借美元疲软连涨，USD/INR 探95.30创两周低；但油价与中东风险成变数。交易可偏空看94.80，止损95.81，并用虚值看涨期权对冲。

31

Jul 2026

亚洲股市追随华尔街科技股涨势，韩国飙升，日银按兵不动，中国PMI回落

AI业绩点燃亚洲股市：韩股暴冲、半导体狂飙；日本续涨但加息阴影；中港PMI跌破50转弱。策略：韩卖Otm Put/信用价差，日港买指数Put对冲。

31

Jul 2026

日本与韩国出手挺日元与韩元，交易员试探东京决心

日、韩罕见协同买入本币，传美国或参与，日元脱离40年低位、韩元大涨2%。央行干预恐引爆剧烈波动，衍生品宜降杠杆，偏买短期虚值看跌期权对冲。

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