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Live Updates

13

Aug 2026

英镑逼近1.3500，美元受美国通胀放缓拖累，市场静待英国GDP数据

英镑/美元逼近1.3500！美国CPI温和压低9月加息概率至40%，多头占优；聚焦英国Q2 GDP与PPI。技术阻力1.3570，支撑1.3425；可用看涨与跨式捕捉波动。

13

Aug 2026

7月RICS房价平衡指数略有改善，但仍深陷负值区间

英国RICS 7月房价差额-30%胜预期-31%，跌势仍在但压力稍缓；调查未披露细分与前瞻指标，市场或继续观望英国楼市拐点。

13

Aug 2026

印尼市场走高，普拉博沃提名德斯特里·达玛扬蒂出任央行行长

印尼央行人事明朗带动在岸资产走强：印尼盾守住18,000、债券收益率回落。市场押注本月按兵不动；衍生品策略偏收固定、做多债券，并卖USD/IDR涨期权。

13

Aug 2026

美国通胀降温，市场押注美联储按兵不动并等待澳洲联储信号，澳元走低

美国CPI降温引爆市场重估：9月加息担忧退潮，澳元兑美元回落至0.7061。焦点转向澳洲通胀预期与RBA按兵不动定价，汇价或迎更大波动。

13

Aug 2026

纽元/美元走低，卢克森领导力受质疑拖累纽元，选前局势紧张，数据成焦点

纽元/美元跌至0.5860附近连跌三日：新西兰大选前党内分裂叠加中东紧张压制风险偏好。焦点转向RBNZ通胀预期与PMI，0.5856成关键支撑。

13

Aug 2026

美国7月预算赤字达4320亿美元，扩大全球财政部借款需求并拖累长端国债收益率

美国7月预算赤字爆冷扩大至4320亿美元，较预期多860亿；融资需求上修，国债供给或加速推升长端收益率，美元承压，股债波动升温。

13

Aug 2026

美元/离岸人民币维持区间震荡，交易员权衡6.7300下行空间与6.7580阻力

USD/CNH 低波动困局：短线锁定6.7430-6.7530，仍偏向1-3周下探6.7300。衍生品可卖跨式/铁鹰收权利金，留意6.7580突破与6.8430中期转强门槛。

13

Aug 2026

CPI公布后美元稳守在100上方，交易员关注PPI、英国GDP及中东风险

CPI符合预期带动美元指数重返100上方，欧美镑回落、日元反弹。中东升温推金至4410、油守83。英GDP与美PPI成关键，期权布局防波动。

13

Aug 2026

欧元/美元回落，在CPI数据出炉后美元反弹；能源与中东风险推升避险需求

美国CPI符合预期后美元反弹，EUR/USD自1.1563回落至1.1520，守1.1500。技术面动能降温。策略：区间卖OTM call；跌破1.1500则买近月put/熊市价差。

12

Aug 2026

英镑在1.3500附近企稳：美国通胀降温、英国GDP数据将出炉，霍尔木兹紧张局势升温

英镑兑美元守住1.3500，CPI降温但美联储加息定价升温。地缘风险推高波动，周四英国GDP成关键。策略：短期期权跨式/宽跨式，留意1.3427支撑、1.3573阻力。

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