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Live Updates

13

Aug 2026

美元走强，CPI符合预期；杰克逊霍尔年会前，市场对美联储加息押注仍偏鹰派

CPI符合预期却打脸“更热”押注，美元趁仓位回补走强；核心通胀三个月年化1.6%压波动。利率定价仍偏鹰、12月押加息，聚焦纪要、PPI及海湾局势。

13

Aug 2026

美股再创新高，投资者关注资金轮动转向估值偏低的中国A50交易

美股创新高但估值偏紧，AI一旦降温回调敏感；中国A50深度折价却资金未回流。CHA50/US500配对成资金风向标：美股短期call追动能，中国用长期牛市价差低成本埋伏。

13

Aug 2026

霍尔木兹海峡航运量下降推动WTI升破82美元，尽管OPEC下调原油需求预测

霍尔木兹海峡通行骤降至6艘引爆供应中断忧虑，WTI升至82美元；但OPEC下调需求增速，波动恐加剧。关键位80支撑、82.54/86.11阻力，期权策略可布局。

13

Aug 2026

纽约梅隆认为，美联储决议标志美元“去对冲”见顶，投资者正重建美元对冲并削减敞口

BNY揭示：7/29议息后美元去对冲见顶，资金迅速重建对冲、未对冲美资敞口降至0.34。策略：增持美元对冲，重点做空GBP/EUR/CAD，避开JPY/CNY。

13

Aug 2026

中东风险令布伦特油价维持在90美元附近，美国通胀数据促使利率与外汇定价调整

中东局势胶着推布油守90美元；美国通胀降温但仍黏，9月加息预期反复。策略：布油买价外看涨/牛差；利率做熊陡；日元买看涨；AI与韩股期权顺势。

13

Aug 2026

英国对非欧盟贸易逆差6月扩大至104.48亿英镑，令英镑承压

英国6月非欧盟贸易赤字骤扩至-104.48亿英镑，按月恶化46%！出口走弱、进口依赖加深，或压英镑；关注GBP/USD看跌与跨式、FTSE250对冲。

13

Aug 2026

卢比走软，因原油供应中断忧虑推高美元；美元/印度卢比受限于20日EMA下方

美元反弹压制卢比，USD/INR守95.35；CPI降温预期牵制美元。油市与霍尔木兹风险添变数。策略：区间操作，阻力96，支撑95.30/94.83，偏卖call。

13

Aug 2026

金价跌破4,400美元，较温和的美国CPI提振效应消退，美元走强施压

黄金冲高4,450后回落失守4,400：CPI降温提振消退、美元走强且2026加息预期升温。技术面仍偏多，关注4,502阻力与4,302支撑，建议期权对冲波动。

13

Aug 2026

英国GDP第二季增长0.6%超预期，惟工厂产出走弱，英镑持稳

英国Q2 GDP按季劲增0.6%胜预期，英镑却横盘1.3495。资产配置怎么做？看涨期权瞄准1.3600，关注1.3480支撑，并以SONIA空单对冲潜在加息。

13

Aug 2026

美元/加元企稳于1.3940附近，较疲弱的美国CPI拖累美元，油价打压加元

美元/加元守在1.3940窄幅震荡：美7月CPI回落削弱加息押注，美元走软抵消油价跌势。关注铁鹰/卖跨策略，原油偏弱宜买WTI看跌对冲。

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