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Live Updates

17

Aug 2026

受霍尔木兹风险、战略石油储备（SPR）下调及期货贴水结构影响，WTI升破82美元，油市趋紧

WTI升至82美元，霍尔木兹风险与俄炼厂遇袭推高供应忧虑；SPR跌破3亿桶削弱压价能力。曲线维持现货升水，建议偏多：回调买call、做多跨期价差，并配牛市价差。

17

Aug 2026

瑞典央行料维持利率在1.75%不变，通胀低于目标令瑞典克朗承压

通胀略超预期，瑞典央行仍料第七次按兵不动1.75%，仅保留年末加息余地。鹰派难撑克朗，建议布局SEK走弱：做多EUR/SEK期权或做空期货。

17

Aug 2026

加拿大CPI料跌破2%，核心通胀亦走低；美国关税威胁令加元承压

关税+低通胀双夹击！加拿大7月核心CPI料续低于2%，BoC加息预期或下修；美拟对近200亿美元加货征50%税，触发CAD抛售，策略偏多USD/CAD。

17

Aug 2026

中东风险升温，布伦特油价坚守90美元附近；供应趋紧推升铜价创历史新高

中东冲突与霍尔木兹袭击忧虑撑油价，资金转偏多；美国产量上调需对冲。铜创新高、库存急降推近月多；黄金加码防波动。谷物俄供充足，小麦宜空，玉米大豆减多。

17

Aug 2026

澳洲薪资与就业数据料将维持市场对澳洲联储利率预期稳定，支撑澳元

澳洲本周薪资与就业数据料温和，RBA利率预期大致不变；市场押注年内再升息25基点概率60%。利差套息与能源、AI国防概念继续撑澳元。

17

Aug 2026

加元静待加拿大CPI与美国“第338条”关税截止期限，波动风险逼近

加元迎双重考验：加拿大7月通胀或升至2.9%，核心稳定令央行按兵不动；美国《338条》关税期限逼近，谈判若破局恐引发CAD急挫与USD/CAD波动飙升。

17

Aug 2026

7月中国房价指数跌幅收窄，楼市低迷呈现初步企稳迹象

中国7月房价跌幅收窄至-3.2%：别急着抄底。复苏仍远，宜用波动率策略应对；工业金属做保护性认沽，股指可考虑卖方铁鹰，留意CNH风险。

17

Aug 2026

在美国数据疲软与中东风险推升需求下，金价企稳于4,400美元附近

黄金守住4,390支撑、逼近4,400关口：美国数据转弱降温加息预期，叠加霍尔木兹风险推升避险。策略偏多：回调买入，4,350下破止损。

17

Aug 2026

随着印度央行提前结束FCNR互换，卢比企稳；8月收盘前美元/印度卢比料维持区间波动

卢比止跌但风险未除：RBI提前结束FCNR掉期窗口、吸金近570亿美元，或加剧USD/INR波动并上破95.60；短线看95.00–95.50，关注FPI与会议纪要。

17

Aug 2026

美元指数瞄准99点，疲弱美国数据提振欧元、日元及全球收益率反弹希望

美元指数99.40“地板”告急，美国数据转弱或引爆跌向99：建议期权做多欧元、EURJPY；做多日元与人民币，押注USDINR下破。利率反弹、股市分化，黄金续强油价区间。

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