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Live Updates

24

Aug 2026

日元企稳，市场焦点转向日本央行指引，交易员关注美元/日元下行期权

日圆小跌、美元/日圆守158-159窄幅；焦点转向9月18日央行会议，市场押注收紧20bp。隐波偏低，买短天期156看跌期权/风险逆转，博鹰派指引引爆强升。

24

Aug 2026

加元贸易谈判破裂、伊朗制裁阴云笼罩，美汇回落推动金价升至5月中旬高位

金价冲破4,680美元创高，美元走弱叠加美加谈崩、对伊朗制裁升温推避险。技术偏多但RSI超买；关注4,700突破，回调4,573分批做多。

24

Aug 2026

贝森特会议成焦点，交易员紧盯DXY反转、金融股对冲与半导体下跌

Bessent 发布会或引爆 DXY 反转：拥挤多仓恐遭急修。金融股基本面转弱、半导体跳空示派发；USDCAD 升破 1.3750 警示 risk-off；白银 32–34 或见顶。

24

Aug 2026

富时100指数小幅走高，金价与比特币齐涨，科技股拖累纳斯达克情绪

富时100本周走强，黄金带动反弹、科技拖累全球风险偏好。把握美元贬值担忧：做多黄金与比特币期权，同时用纳指看跌对冲，关注价值股轮动机会。

24

Aug 2026

中东紧张局势与伊朗制裁风险推升波动预期，WTI跌破85美元

WTI 回落至 84 美元，但霍尔木兹海峡封锁与美国对伊朗制裁逼近，波动风险骤升！技术面 85-85.64 阻力、81.37 支撑；期权可用长跨/长勒捕捉剧烈行情。

24

Aug 2026

美元/日元走高，美元企稳，市场聚焦PCE、杰克逊霍尔年会及日本央行会议

美元/日元反弹至159.13，美元企稳且伊朗二级制裁升温。焦点转向PCE、杰克逊霍尔与9/18日央行指引；建议布局短天期跨式/宽跨式及OTM看跌对冲。

24

Aug 2026

加元下挫，因美加谈判破裂推升美元兑加元逼近200日均线

美加谈判破裂拖累加元沦G10最弱，USD/CAD逼近200日均线1.3844。短线偏多美元，或冲1.3950；波动率升温，趁权利金未贵买1.39美元看涨保护。

24

Aug 2026

道明证券预计，随着油价冲击消退，加拿大央行将把利率维持在2.25%直至2026年

TD Securities押注加拿大央行利率2.25%按兵不动至2026年，2027年才渐进回归中性2.75%。油价回稳、核心通胀偏弱：关注CORRA做多、卖加元波动。

24

Aug 2026

加元走软，美加贸易谈判破裂；关税升级忧虑升温推高美元兑加元（USD/CAD）

美加谈判破裂、关税战升级压低加元，美元/加元升至1.3830。伊朗制裁或推油价缓冲。关注1.3846阻力、1.3732支撑，期权跨式布局波动。

24

Aug 2026

市场聚焦澳洲央行会议纪要、美国核心PCE与GDP，油价回落金价走强

高波动周来袭：RBA纪要、美国核心PCE与GDP、加拿大GDP及杰克逊霍尔讲话定美元方向。油价50%涨势遇需求转弱与航运风险；金价破4650，关注上破4810或回测4490。

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